So let's get serious about Houston here.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Fodie77
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 210
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:21 pm

So let's get serious about Houston here.

#1 Postby Fodie77 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:03 pm

I know it's early, but what could Houston be looking at right now? My aunt and uncle are Katrina refugees down there.
0 likes   

djtil
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 699
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 10:09 am

#2 Postby djtil » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:10 pm

based on 11pm nhc track houston would probably get low cat 1 sustained with gusts over 100mph.

based on latest gfdl, probably cat 2 sustained or higher depending on landfall intensity.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:18 pm

djtil wrote:based on 11pm nhc track houston would probably get low cat 1 sustained with gusts over 100mph.

based on latest gfdl, probably cat 2 sustained or higher depending on landfall intensity.


Houston is very big, according to the local mets Southern portions of the city proper may experience 110-130mph winds. While the Northside could see 90-105mph winds.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

jopatura
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 139
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:39 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

#4 Postby jopatura » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:21 pm

We were told SW of Bellaire to prepare for about 100-120mph winds, depending on landfall. Our house isn't looking too good, seeing as we had trouble during Alicia, according to my parents. But they're sticking it out, much to my chagrin. I, however, am in a cement dorm room in Bryan/College Station. With much ducktape on my windows.
0 likes   

kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:25 pm

Ducktape isn't going to stop shi-crap from flying through the window. Prepare accordingly.

And good luck everyone!
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#6 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:26 pm

The 11pm track would suggest Cat 2 winds... Cat 3 possible on the southwest side... the track is closer to Houston than it ever has been.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#7 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:43 am

It's pretty impossible to predict Houston conditions from this storm, at this time, IMO. Tell your relatives to leave Houston for Rita and to watch conditions in Houston in a hotel in Oklahoma or Kansas. I'm serious.
0 likes   

jopatura
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 139
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:39 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

#8 Postby jopatura » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:45 am

kevin wrote:Ducktape isn't going to stop shi-crap from flying through the window. Prepare accordingly.

And good luck everyone!


Can't do much else. We have "college regulations" preventing us from too much more. I'm hoping if I ducktape and tape a blanket over the window and over the blinds, it'll at least keep the glass from flying in the room long enough for me to grab essentials. The most important stuff is already packed and near the door if I have to run out at any given time.
0 likes   

Shoshana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1414
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: NE Austin

#9 Postby Shoshana » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:53 am

jopatura wrote:We were told SW of Bellaire to prepare for about 100-120mph winds, depending on landfall. Our house isn't looking too good, seeing as we had trouble during Alicia, according to my parents. But they're sticking it out, much to my chagrin. I, however, am in a cement dorm room in Bryan/College Station. With much ducktape on my windows.


Bellaire is now in a voluntary evac zone. And for you- if it gets bad, get into the hallway fast.
0 likes   

User avatar
themusk
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 195
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Burlington, VT

#10 Postby themusk » Thu Sep 22, 2005 2:46 am

jopatura wrote:Can't do much else. We have "college regulations" preventing us from too much more.


There has to be a special place in hell for people who create and enforce such regulations in the face of a category 5.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#11 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 2:53 am

themusk wrote:
jopatura wrote:Can't do much else. We have "college regulations" preventing us from too much more.


There has to be a special place in hell for people who create and enforce such regulations in the face of a category 5.


IF models and NHC track continue east, houston is looking good. A hit near border or further west and houston would be spared. Storm is heading north of nhc track so its reasonable to believe that its going to continue.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, Teban54 and 232 guests