Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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SoupBone
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#541 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:02 pm

She definately had a good West wobble in that last frame...
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#542 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:04 pm

She has trimed down, and lost some weight. Katrina grew to an immense size which helped her lose strenght very fast. Rita is sightly smaller now and has over a day to regroup, not good.
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#543 Postby Furious George » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:05 pm

To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:
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#544 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:06 pm

SoupBone wrote:She definately had a good West wobble in that last frame...


Soup, use this satellite link. It updates every 7 minutes or so...just refresh every now and then. Make it animate really fast...it's easier to see her wobbles.

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... s&type=vis
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#545 Postby oneness » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:08 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Actually it is beginning to gain some structure back that it lost last night into this morning. The western side is starting to look better. Even looks with that to be back to a more WNW motion, online with the NHC track instead of being much further north than earlier today.



Yes I've noticed the same thing for a little while, the IR and visible have both improved. Looks like she is trying to rebuild.
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#546 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:10 pm

Pressure up to a whopping 915mb in the latest vortex. :roll: She is more than holding here own and getting better in presentation. :eek:
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#547 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:11 pm

cjrciadt wrote:Pressure up to a whopping 915mb in the latest vortex. :roll: She is more than holding here own and getting better in presentation. :eek:


I was quite surprised it only went up to 915... I'm getting concerned about it strengthening again after this ERC is over.
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#548 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:11 pm

Furious George wrote:To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:


There are plenty that do some actual -removed-. Then there are some of us that really try to take an objective view on what is happening.

Obviously Rita started moving north of the NHC's forecasted path last night into this morning. Now it is back to moving in line with their track. The track is far to close to Galveston, and until it takes a true NW course, then Galveston is still in the cross-hairs.
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#549 Postby oneness » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:11 pm

Furious George wrote:To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:



Yeah, when some one gets adamant that it is making a move somewhere, first thing I do is look at the location of the poster ... usually (not always) tells you what's going on with that. :wink: :)
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#550 Postby storms in NC » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:21 pm

oneness wrote:
Furious George wrote:To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:



Yeah, when some one gets adamant that it is making a move somewhere, first thing I do is look at the location of the poster ... usually (not always) tells you what's going on with that. :wink: :)


Not from La or Texas. But if you have been looking at the loops all morning you can see it is going NW. You will see they will move it more to the right by tonight. It will NOT go into NOLA but west of the mississippi river to the Texas line.
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#551 Postby Furious George » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:26 pm

oneness wrote:
Furious George wrote:To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:



Yeah, when some one gets adamant that it is making a move somewhere, first thing I do is look at the location of the poster ... usually (not always) tells you what's going on with that. :wink: :)


Exactly. It's getting to the point where I don't read the posts anymore. I just look at the person's location and can pretty much tell what's going to be said. The funny thing is, I think it even affects the pro mets (at least the one's on TV) sometimes.
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#552 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:33 pm

Latest UKMET is into Louisiana.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#553 Postby oneness » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:35 pm

storms in NC wrote:
oneness wrote:
Furious George wrote:To people in LA, it looks like its heading North, to people in Texas it looks like its heading West. Some call this -removed-, but I believe most think of a worst case scenario for themselves as to not get caught offgaurd. It's probably better than everyone denying that its coming towards them.

Btw, I'm in Houston and it is clearly making a west jog now. :lol:



Yeah, when some one gets adamant that it is making a move somewhere, first thing I do is look at the location of the poster ... usually (not always) tells you what's going on with that. :wink: :)


Not from La or Texas. But if you have been looking at the loops all morning you can see it is going NW. You will see they will move it more to the right by tonight. It will NOT go into NOLA but west of the mississippi river to the Texas line.



It may or it may not. When computer models don't agree on landfall, I don't see how humans can. :) But last month I read many warnings and claims that "it's making an easterly turn" (based upon sat loops), but it never made that turn at all. Katrina only turned almost exactly where the NHC model said it would, or should. Although the NHC consensus model is a bit more mobile this time, two days out.
Last edited by oneness on Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#554 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:36 pm

Saying prayers for everyone in the path of Hurricane Rita and wishing I could open my home to someone in need of a place to stay. We just moved into a much larger Apt. and have a spare bedroom and extra sleeper sofa.

P.S. I sincerly apologize to all the people I have offended by posting :eek: HOLY CRAP!!! :eek:

We have all never seen anything like this Hurricane Season and I've just been overwhelmed by all of the activity, breaking records and stuff.
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#555 Postby beenthru6 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:38 pm

NBC has their intensity at landfall as a cat 3. I think this is really a bad thing for them to be reporting. Many people will stay for a cat 3, but not a cat 4. I bet there are plenty who see that and say since it is going to weaken, I will stay. I am wondering if they will even feel bad if they get it wrong, and people die because they said a cat 3 and it ends up coming in as a 4 or higher?
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#556 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:38 pm

CNN reporting she's just been downgraded to a cat. 4. Now, if she'll just keep downgrading we'd all be grateful :wink:
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#557 Postby sponger » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:39 pm

HG, I like the holp craps!
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#558 Postby jpigott » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:40 pm

"We have all never seen anything like this Hurricane Season and I've just been overwhelmed by all of the activity, breaking records and stuff."

I coulda sworn i said the same thing last hurricane season. And to think we may just be either in the beginning or middle of an active cycle
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#559 Postby AZS » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:41 pm

CAT4 now

150 mph
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#560 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:47 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Latest UKMET is into Louisiana.


Hmm ... so that leaves the Canadian and the Euro as westward outliers.
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