99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Rainband · #761 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:50 pm

Vaffie. way too early to tell.

cajungal · #762 Postby **cajungal** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:50 pm

What is your opinions on this, Zack? I love reading your posts. Because you always give good thoughts and reasonings.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #763 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:54 pm

Oh I don't trust LBAR its just that if I had to make a track it would
be similar.
And Zach I never said it was headed for Tampa Bay.
I said maybe the Big Bend.

Well I am just crazy. Please don't treat my forecasts as official.
I am just watching that crazy cold front...

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #764 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:55 pm

I will probably end up wrong anyways since I have consistently
overestimated the strength of troughs.

Just the forecasting is crazy phun.

Best move would be to sit back and watch what happens...like a movie...
a scary one...

corpusbreeze · #765 Postby **corpusbreeze** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:57 pm

I dont think this thing will develope anytime to soon with that big ULL nw of shearing it . Maybe wont develope at all.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #766 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:58 pm

Some shear continues over 99L...odd critter

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #767 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:03 pm

MODELS BABY MODELS!!!!

Ahhh screw it...I dont care anymore...I've lost too much sanity
tracking this crazy beast

A quick synopsis....
Could 99L not survive? If so then
Dr. Robotnik's mean bean machine continues to put the mystery in
99L.
The grandeur of chocolate-driven elation keeps my heart pumping
at record pace...Exhilaration in its strangest sense is what chocolate
translates into. My own entropy is increasing at a rapid rate of unusual
ferocity. Time for a little reduction, better control my lattice energy.
Time for me to bump down my electron energy. TTYL my stormchasing
fellows...

The smell of trees permeates my atmosphere-- the unparalleled
grandeur of these phenomina culminating in one dignified sum.

#768 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:07 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:MODELS BABY MODELS!!!!

Ahhh screw it...I dont care anymore...I've lost too much sanity
tracking this crazy beast

A quick synopsis....
Could 99L not survive? If so then
Dr. Robotnik's mean bean machine continues to put the mystery in
99L.
The grandeur of chocolate-driven elation keeps my heart pumping
at record pace...Exhilaration in its strangest sense is what chocolate
translates into. My own entropy is increasing at a rapid rate of unusual
ferocity. Time for a little reduction, better control my lattice energy.
Time for me to bump down my electron energy. TTYL my stormchasing
fellows...

The smell of trees permeates my atmosphere-- the unparalleled
grandeur of these phenomina culminating in one dignified sum.

Dr. Robotnik? lol what does Sonic have to do with this?

<RICKY>

TS Zack · #769 Postby **TS Zack** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:08 pm

I think it may get drawn Northward by the Upper-level Low to the North but then as the trough digs down and the ridge builds under it. Expect our system to get pulled back West. Depending on how far North it gets the next day or two will determine what happens in the Gulf.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #770 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:08 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:MODELS BABY MODELS!!!!

Ahhh screw it...I dont care anymore...I've lost too much sanity
tracking this crazy beast

A quick synopsis....
Could 99L not survive? If so then
Dr. Robotnik's mean bean machine continues to put the mystery in
99L.
The grandeur of chocolate-driven elation keeps my heart pumping
at record pace...Exhilaration in its strangest sense is what chocolate
translates into. My own entropy is increasing at a rapid rate of unusual
ferocity. Time for a little reduction, better control my lattice energy.
Time for me to bump down my electron energy. TTYL my stormchasing
fellows...

The smell of trees permeates my atmosphere-- the unparalleled
grandeur of these phenomina culminating in one dignified sum.

Dr. Robotnik? lol what does Sonic have to do with this?

<RICKY>

The spin of a tropical cyclone reminds me of Sonic the Hedgehog. :lol:

#771 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:13 pm

Aaah alright.

<RICKY>

#772 Postby **canetracker** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:17 pm

TS Zack wrote:I think it may get drawn Northward by the Upper-level Low to the North but then as the trough digs down and the ridge builds under it. Expect our system to get pulled back West. Depending on how far North it gets the next day or two will determine what happens in the Gulf.

I guess we will have a better idea when recon goes in tomorrow and we see what 99L is actually doing at that time. Hopefully, Louisiana will not get hit again.

cajungal · #773 Postby **cajungal** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:21 pm

It does not look like it poses a threat to Louisiana at this time. If it develops, Mexico looks more likely. Since it is already weak, it probably won't even survive the trip over the Yucatan. Now everyone around home is saying we took a brush to the east with Katrina, got brushed to our west with Rita. The only other scenerio left is to go right up the middle of Louisiana. Morgan City-Houma which has somewhat been spared the brunt of these canes.

#774 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:23 pm

cajungal wrote:It does not look like it poses a threat to Louisiana at this time. If it develops, Mexico looks more likely. Since it is already weak, it probably won't even survive the trip over the Yucatan. Now everyone around home is saying we took a brush to the east with Katrina, got brushed to our west with Rita. The only other scenerio left is to go right up the middle of Louisiana. Morgan City-Houma which has somewhat been spared the brunt of these canes.

Yea, well, according to our local mets, this is just another storm that we have nothing to worry about. Boy, have we heard that a lot this year. I'm not even going to watch the 10pm news tonight.

Website · #775 Postby **Brent** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:31 pm

10:30pm TWO:

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR JAMAICA AND HAITI... AND
OVER ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS. EVEN THOUGH THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS GREATLY DECREASED THIS EVENING... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT... AND THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TOMORROW... IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

mtm4319 · #776 Postby **mtm4319** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:37 pm

With the amount of discussion, you'd think the WMO is going to retire "99L" this year. :lol:

#777 Postby **canetracker** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:38 pm

cajungal wrote:It does not look like it poses a threat to Louisiana at this time. If it develops, Mexico looks more likely. Since it is already weak, it probably won't even survive the trip over the Yucatan. Now everyone around home is saying we took a brush to the east with Katrina, got brushed to our west with Rita. The only other scenerio left is to go right up the middle of Louisiana. Morgan City-Houma which has somewhat been spared the brunt of these canes.

Yes but wxman57's previous post stated: "It's pretty late in the season for a high to be strong enough (and stationary enough) to drive a storm west into Mexico."
IMO, we may have to wait a few more days to see where this is going and all of the gulf coast should keep an eye on this.
Recon will be in tomorrow and the models, with accurate data, should better predict this storm.

cajungal · #778 Postby **cajungal** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:39 pm

I wonder if the thread was this long when Katrina or Rita was just a tropical wave. Jeez, the thread is almost 40 pages long with something that is not even a TD yet. I hate to see how long the thread will be if it does actually become Stan the Man.

Website · #779 Postby **Brent** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:42 pm

cajungal wrote:I wonder if the thread was this long when Katrina or Rita was just a tropical wave. Jeez, the thread is almost 40 pages long with something that is not even a TD yet. I hate to see how long the thread will be if it does actually become Stan the Man.

Katrina... 82 pages. "TD 10... Back Again". Over 8 days... :eek:

Ixolib · #780 Postby **Ixolib** » Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:57 pm

Brent wrote:Katrina... 82 pages. "TD 10... Back Again". Over 8 days...

Geeze - that thread seems like it was sooooo long ago. A lot of water has gone under the bridge since then.

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