look at this!!!!

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CHRISTY

look at this!!!!

#1 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:34 pm

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WeatherEmperor
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:37 pm

Are you referring to that blob over South FLorida? What system is that? Is that 99L?

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:37 pm

99L and the MLC flaring up now?
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CHRISTY

#4 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:39 pm

actually i think thats the system jb has been talking about!
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#5 Postby weatherwoman » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:39 pm

where did you get that pic
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#6 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:44 pm

UKMET 12z
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#7 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:59 pm

This thread is for the wave that is to the northeast of Puerto Rico, by the way.
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#8 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:01 pm

so that wave tat is north of Puerto Rico right now is what is showing up on the UKMET that is gonna be near the north FL/GA border?

<RICKY>
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#9 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:02 pm

It looks like the UKMET expects a weaker ridge... if they expected a stronger ridge, the system would probably be further south. There is a strong trough coming through, which may likely slightly weaken the ridge.
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#10 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:06 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:so that wave tat is north of Puerto Rico right now is what is showing up on the UKMET that is gonna be near the north FL/GA border?

<RICKY>


Yes. Also, in the CMC map above, the vort max east of the Bahamas comes from there, and later in the run it heads for South Carolina.

The vort max the CMC is showing over Florida comes from the south - not clear to me if it's 99L or not, the CMC doesn't seem to have initialized much of anything for 99L.

The UKMET takes 99L WNW across the Yucatan and the Bay of Campeche.
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#11 Postby tornadochaser86 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:48 pm

Anyone know when that L99 will develop or if its even going to deveop?
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#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 6:36 pm

GFS 120 HOURS 18Z

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#13 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 29, 2005 8:08 pm

Running for the hills!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THE SKY IS FALLING
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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#14 Postby hicksta » Thu Sep 29, 2005 8:40 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:GFS 120 HOURS 18Z

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Shows nothing.. Only ones that show anything are UK and CMC.. Nuff said.
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#15 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:02 pm

hicksta wrote:
southfloridawx2005 wrote:GFS 120 HOURS 18Z

Image



Shows nothing.. Only ones that show anything are UK and CMC.. Nuff said.


:break:
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#16 Postby hicksta » Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:16 pm

GFS shows nothing. And you are talking about two models that arent very accurate.
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#17 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:20 pm

thank you for your expert knowledge hick. If you don't like my post you don't have to read it. What is your problem with me anyway? No one else seems to have a problem with my post.
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#18 Postby hicksta » Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:22 pm

Im just saying you are basing this off two models that are not very accurate with the tropics. Now if the GFDL picked up on it then you may be on something. I have no problem with you at all.
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#19 Postby jdray » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:09 pm

the ECMWF picks something up as well.

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#20 Postby The Big Dog » Fri Sep 30, 2005 9:03 am

Jevo wrote:Running for the hills!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THE SKY IS FALLING

Yep, stocking up on canned goods and ammo as we speak.
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