UKMET @ HOUR 120

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SouthFloridawx
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#21 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:18 pm

hicksta wrote:Hmm ok. 108 hours out says it all bro. Also seems like you want this for South flordia.



here we go..

:na:


just showing something i noticed and no one else was saying anything about it.
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#22 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:20 pm

hicksta wrote:Hmm ok. 108 hours out says it all bro. Also seems like you want this for South flordia.


if all the models I posted are picking up on it from 84-168 hours what does that mean?
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#23 Postby Deb321 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:20 pm

vaffie wrote:
Deb321 wrote:So for us weather dummies what does all that mean??? :oops: :oops:


It means, Deb321, that that wave is expected by all of the global models to make it to the Bahamas and Florida in 4-6 days. Not to be alarmist, but it has a good circulation, convection is starting to fire up around it, and it has 4-6 days of fairly warm water and good conditions before it reaches the US. What it will be by then is anyone's guess, and whether it enters the Gulf is too, though if it does, cold fronts at this time of year might not let it get very far into the Gulf. Just pay attention to it and be prepared.


Thanks vaffie, hope it doesn't come to Florida but I will be keeping my eye on it. Last thing I need is a hurricane breathing down my neck right now , my hubby is working out of town and won't be here to help prepare. Oh well, I'll keep my fingers crossed. :(
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#24 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:21 pm

Deb321 wrote:
vaffie wrote:
Deb321 wrote:So for us weather dummies what does all that mean??? :oops: :oops:


It means, Deb321, that that wave is expected by all of the global models to make it to the Bahamas and Florida in 4-6 days. Not to be alarmist, but it has a good circulation, convection is starting to fire up around it, and it has 4-6 days of fairly warm water and good conditions before it reaches the US. What it will be by then is anyone's guess, and whether it enters the Gulf is too, though if it does, cold fronts at this time of year might not let it get very far into the Gulf. Just pay attention to it and be prepared.


Thanks vaffie, hope it doesn't come to Florida but I will be keeping my eye on it. Last thing I need is a hurricane breathing down my neck right now , my hubby is working out of town and won't be here to help prepare. Oh well, I'll keep my fingers crossed.


Deb don't start thinking about being prepared yet. :D
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CHRISTY

#25 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:31 pm

something is definitly is coming to florida! all these different type of models have been showing this ! i think will way more of a concern then 99L!
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#26 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:32 pm

CHRISTY wrote:something is definitly is coming to florida! all these different type of models have been showing this ! i think will way more of a concern then 99L!



Christy you must have been loud and annoying as a Child...LOL
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#27 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:59 pm

hicksta wrote:Hmm ok. 108 hours out says it all bro. Also seems like you want this for South flordia.


There is no basis for this accusation.

"Want" is the wrong word. He is most likley concerned about it for south
florida. After the pummeling Florida took last year, there is nothing
wrong with being concerned about the possibility for a system.
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#28 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:02 pm

looks like a surface trough
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#29 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:04 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:looks like a surface trough


thanks derek
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CHRISTY

#30 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:05 pm

hey professional met whats your opinion on this wave by puerto rico ? and whats up with all these models showing something approaching florida?opinions!!
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#31 Postby LAStorm01 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:46 pm

According to models, picking up low developing and 1 sending it into Tampa, another up the East coast and in SC...Thats what I see..also another low in SW GOM>
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#32 Postby seaswing » Thu Sep 29, 2005 4:57 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:something is definitly is coming to florida! all these different type of models have been showing this ! i think will way more of a concern then 99L!



Christy you must have been loud and annoying as a Child...LOL


Destructions--- :hehe: you are bad! if I were Christy I would send you a :moon2:
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#33 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:06 pm

LAStorm01 wrote:According to models, picking up low developing and 1 sending it into Tampa, another up the East coast and in SC...Thats what I see..also another low in SW GOM>

Those models look ominous. :eek:

Well I sure am not gonna be a happy camper if whatever that
thing is comes to Tampa...unless it is a weak depression that gives
central florida some much needed rain (it has been very dry here
all month long)
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#34 Postby Deb321 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:14 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
LAStorm01 wrote:According to models, picking up low developing and 1 sending it into Tampa, another up the East coast and in SC...Thats what I see..also another low in SW GOM>

Those models look ominous. :eek:

Well I sure am not gonna be a happy camper if whatever that
thing is comes to Tampa...unless it is a weak depression that gives
central florida some much needed rain (it has been very dry here
all month long)


We have been getting quite a bit of rain over here on the east side. Tuesday it rained really hard and has rained off and on the past two days. We even had some hail on Tuesday, not real sure what caused all of it but I would gladly send it your way if I could. :wink:
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#35 Postby seaswing » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:16 pm

Deb321 wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
LAStorm01 wrote:According to models, picking up low developing and 1 sending it into Tampa, another up the East coast and in SC...Thats what I see..also another low in SW GOM>

Those models look ominous. :eek:

Well I sure am not gonna be a happy camper if whatever that
thing is comes to Tampa...unless it is a weak depression that gives
central florida some much needed rain (it has been very dry here
all month long)


We have been getting quite a bit of rain over here on the east side. Tuesday it rained really hard and has rained off and on the past two days. We even had some hail on Tuesday, not real sure what caused all of it but I would gladly send it your way if I could. :wink:


Please Do!
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#36 Postby cajungal » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:29 pm

CHRISTY wrote:something is definitly is coming to florida! all these different type of models have been showing this ! i think will way more of a concern then 99L!
Christy, no offense, but how old are you? How did you handle it when Andrew was bearing down on you?
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#37 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2005 5:35 pm

its just one model run. Its likely to change with its next data output.

<RICKY>
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#38 Postby mvtrucking » Thu Sep 29, 2005 6:33 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:something is definitly is coming to florida! all these different type of models have been showing this ! i think will way more of a concern then 99L!



Christy you must have been loud and annoying as a Child...LOL


Too funny. Do you really want a hurricane that bad? No electricity for a couple of weeks, store shelves bare, rotten food in the freezer, and the list goes on. I wouldn't wish a hurricane on my worst enemy. Pray a storm does not come anywhere near you.
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#39 Postby cajungal » Thu Sep 29, 2005 6:56 pm

My thoughts exactly. Take one look at these poor folks in the southern part of my parish (Terrebonne) who took a 9 ft surge from Rita. And lost everything they owned. After that, you will pray that ever storm just never hits land. Some of my family has lost their homes from Katrina. The elderly lady that my aunt takes care of also lost her home from Katrina. She came on my Destin, Fl trip this summer and was the sweetest lady you ever would meet. Sorry, if I am totally going off the subject of this thread, but as much as I love tracking the tropics, I would never, ever want to see a storm hit land again.
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#40 Postby StormFury » Thu Sep 29, 2005 9:01 pm

OMG! You guys are putting words in Christy's mouth. She never explicitly said that she "wanted" a storm to come to Florida. No offense to you others, but whenever someone from Louisiana or Texas speculates if a storm will hit them, no one criticizes them. Why does this happen to people from Florida? Not that I like Florida or anything (NY rules IMO!), but I believe in equality for all STK posters.
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