East Coast in danger the next week or so?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
krysof

East Coast in danger the next week or so?

#1 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 02, 2005 8:41 pm

Is it? Could something happen. If anyone knows anything, please say so.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weatherwoman
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 364
Joined: Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:09 pm
Location: Newport North Carolina
Contact:
Contact weatherwoman

#2 Postby weatherwoman » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:48 pm

everyone from accuweather thinks so and our local mets are talking about it now
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:50 pm

It looks like a nor'easter...
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
CHRISTY

#4 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:52 pm

can you more specific!
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#5 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:55 pm

CHRISTY wrote:can you more specific!


:roll:

They are referring to areas farther north, like the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. South Florida will see some rain and gusty winds, nothing terribly significant.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
storm4u
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 651
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 7:26 am
Location: agawam, ma
Contact:
Contact storm4u

#6 Postby storm4u » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:58 pm

oh boy! :roll:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#7 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 4:56 pm

Newport NC Disscussion:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
248 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...ALTHOUGH SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH
THURSDAY...A WEAK INVERTED COASTAL TROUGH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS
AND DEEP EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL PROVIDE THE MOISTURE
FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS.
THE ETA SEEMS TO AGREE MORE WITH THE GFS NOW ON GENERATING QPF
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. CURRENT POPS/WX THROUGH THURSDAY
APPEAR REASONABLE WHEN COMPARED TO LATEST MODEL DATA...THEREFORE
NO CHANGES TO THE POPS/WX WILL BE MADE IN THIS PACKAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...LOOKING AT THE GFS
MODEL DATA AND HPC SFC PROGS...THINGS GET INTERESTING ON FRIDAY
AS THE INVERTED COASTAL TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN AND ELONGATE JUST
OFF THE SE COAST AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND H5 TROUGH
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THE INVERTED TROUGH AND FRONT
APPEAR TO MERGE TOGETHER SOMETIME EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH
CYCLOGENESIS INITIATING OVER EASTERN NC SOON THEREAFTER AS THE H5
TROUGH APPROACHES. THE SURFACE LOW SUBSEQUENTLY MOVES NE ALONG THE
EAST COAST WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH EASTERN NC SOMETIME
SATURDAY EVENING. SHOULD THIS SCENARIO OCCUR WE WILL LIKELY SEE
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND A PORTION OF THIS WEEKEND...WITH
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY EVENING...IT APPEARS
WE MAY FINALLY SEE FAIR WX AGAIN THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE GFS SHOWING
LOW 1000-500 MB LAYER RH'S AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK INTO
THE REGION.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vacanechaser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1461
Joined: Wed Dec 03, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Portsmouth, Va
Contact:
Contact vacanechaser

#8 Postby vacanechaser » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:00 pm

I would have to think that the models are having trouble right now with Stan in the area.. So pressures are low in the region of the Gulf and they want to pop something there.. I think, and this is nothing official, this may run the east coast.. But hey, I have been wrong before..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
0 likes   
Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#9 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:01 pm

vacanechaser wrote:I would have to think that the models are having trouble right now with Stan in the area.. So pressures are low in the region of the Gulf and they want to pop something there.. I think, and this is nothing official, this may run the east coast.. But hey, I have been wrong before..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
Hey Jesse, if so, see you this weekend with Mark, lol You should stay in the area this time :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Marilyn
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 232
Joined: Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:36 am
Location: white oak, NC

#10 Postby Marilyn » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:17 pm

Is this suppose to be something difference than 92l ??
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

#11 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:25 pm

Probably gonna be a hybrid type event with significant rainfall and severe weather over eastern NC up into the Delmarva.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vacanechaser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1461
Joined: Wed Dec 03, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Portsmouth, Va
Contact:
Contact vacanechaser

#12 Postby vacanechaser » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:28 pm

Marilyn wrote:Is this suppose to be something difference than 92l ??


Nope.. this is 92L we are talking about


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
0 likes   
Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
Top
User avatar
Marilyn
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 232
Joined: Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:36 am
Location: white oak, NC

#13 Postby Marilyn » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:29 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:Probably gonna be a hybrid type event with significant rainfall and severe weather over eastern NC up into the Delmarva.
I sure hope so , We need rain badly around here. i don't care if it rains for a week My grass and trees need it. thought about doing a rain dance last night , LOL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathermom
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 760
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:59 pm
Location: North Jersey

#14 Postby weathermom » Tue Oct 04, 2005 8:56 am

Here is the guarantee that it will happen, based on the most technical data available (Ha Ha :lol: ) Soccer tournaments this weekend, and we have 4 games Sat and 4 on Sunday, this is usually one of the best predictors of foul weather that I have discovered yet!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: StormWeather, Team Ghost, Yellow Evan and 342 guests