East Coast in danger the next week or so?

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krysof

East Coast in danger the next week or so?

#1 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 02, 2005 8:41 pm

Is it? Could something happen. If anyone knows anything, please say so.
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#2 Postby weatherwoman » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:48 pm

everyone from accuweather thinks so and our local mets are talking about it now
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#3 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:50 pm

It looks like a nor'easter...
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CHRISTY

#4 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:52 pm

can you more specific!
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#5 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:55 pm

CHRISTY wrote:can you more specific!


:roll:

They are referring to areas farther north, like the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. South Florida will see some rain and gusty winds, nothing terribly significant.
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#6 Postby storm4u » Mon Oct 03, 2005 3:58 pm

oh boy! :roll:
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#7 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 4:56 pm

Newport NC Disscussion:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
248 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...ALTHOUGH SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH
THURSDAY...A WEAK INVERTED COASTAL TROUGH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS
AND DEEP EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL PROVIDE THE MOISTURE
FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS.
THE ETA SEEMS TO AGREE MORE WITH THE GFS NOW ON GENERATING QPF
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. CURRENT POPS/WX THROUGH THURSDAY
APPEAR REASONABLE WHEN COMPARED TO LATEST MODEL DATA...THEREFORE
NO CHANGES TO THE POPS/WX WILL BE MADE IN THIS PACKAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...LOOKING AT THE GFS
MODEL DATA AND HPC SFC PROGS...THINGS GET INTERESTING ON FRIDAY
AS THE INVERTED COASTAL TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN AND ELONGATE JUST
OFF THE SE COAST AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND H5 TROUGH
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THE INVERTED TROUGH AND FRONT
APPEAR TO MERGE TOGETHER SOMETIME EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH
CYCLOGENESIS INITIATING OVER EASTERN NC SOON THEREAFTER AS THE H5
TROUGH APPROACHES. THE SURFACE LOW SUBSEQUENTLY MOVES NE ALONG THE
EAST COAST WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH EASTERN NC SOMETIME
SATURDAY EVENING. SHOULD THIS SCENARIO OCCUR WE WILL LIKELY SEE
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND A PORTION OF THIS WEEKEND...WITH
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY EVENING...IT APPEARS
WE MAY FINALLY SEE FAIR WX AGAIN THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE GFS SHOWING
LOW 1000-500 MB LAYER RH'S AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK INTO
THE REGION.
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#8 Postby vacanechaser » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:00 pm

I would have to think that the models are having trouble right now with Stan in the area.. So pressures are low in the region of the Gulf and they want to pop something there.. I think, and this is nothing official, this may run the east coast.. But hey, I have been wrong before..

Jesse V. Bass III
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#9 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:01 pm

vacanechaser wrote:I would have to think that the models are having trouble right now with Stan in the area.. So pressures are low in the region of the Gulf and they want to pop something there.. I think, and this is nothing official, this may run the east coast.. But hey, I have been wrong before..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
Hey Jesse, if so, see you this weekend with Mark, lol You should stay in the area this time :lol:
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#10 Postby Marilyn » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:17 pm

Is this suppose to be something difference than 92l ??
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#11 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:25 pm

Probably gonna be a hybrid type event with significant rainfall and severe weather over eastern NC up into the Delmarva.
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#12 Postby vacanechaser » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:28 pm

Marilyn wrote:Is this suppose to be something difference than 92l ??


Nope.. this is 92L we are talking about


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#13 Postby Marilyn » Mon Oct 03, 2005 5:29 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:Probably gonna be a hybrid type event with significant rainfall and severe weather over eastern NC up into the Delmarva.
I sure hope so , We need rain badly around here. i don't care if it rains for a week My grass and trees need it. thought about doing a rain dance last night , LOL
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#14 Postby weathermom » Tue Oct 04, 2005 8:56 am

Here is the guarantee that it will happen, based on the most technical data available (Ha Ha :lol: ) Soccer tournaments this weekend, and we have 4 games Sat and 4 on Sunday, this is usually one of the best predictors of foul weather that I have discovered yet!
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