98L Invest Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Windtalker1]

Yes, No, Maybe? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[mike815]

YES i think we might have something here.

[HURAKAN]

Try this: http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

and click on the floater over the Caribbean Sea. You may find something very interesting trying to develop. Do I hear Wilma in the horizon?!?!?!

[mike815]

thanks maybe its a definite possibility if the conditions are getting better for developement.

[SapphireSea]

Im going to stay skeptic at development from this disturbance. Very dry air to the north of the system, and a fast approching feature to it's E. WV shows only marginal chances at development and as often stated any development will be slow.

[mascpa]

A definite Maybe. Too soon to really tell.

[ronjon]

Well, looks like we have some action here the next week. Latest CMC 00Z blows up a hurricane south of Cuba and rides it NE off the SE coast of FL. Now the GFS has joined the NOGAPS and UKMET in developing a closed circulation in the western Carribean. Unlike the CMC, these models slowly meander the system W-NW off the Yucatan over the next 4-6 days. NHC indicates in the latest TWO that conditions are becoming more favorable for development over this area and climatology speaks for itself. Already a low pressure system turning CC near JAM. Definitely BEARS WATCHING.


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[Ixolib]

Definitely BEARS WATCHING.

Let the Bear Watch begin...

[no advance]

System seems in the infant stage. Look at the IR. A slow mover will allow this to develop I think. ?

[SouthFloridawx]

[sponger]

nah, season ended 2 weeks ago! Just kidding of course. Looks like our best bet for Wilma. S FL hasnt has a strike from the South in a long time so you guys are due! Yes I said due so flame away!

Trolling sponger

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

nah, season ended 2 weeks ago! Just kidding of course. Looks like our best bet for Wilma. S FL hasnt has a strike from the South in a long time so you guys are due! Yes I said due so flame away!

Trolling sponger

NO! Send it towards ME!!! I am the one who needs the rain! South
Florida got enough rain this summer! I need that RAIN!!!
Wilma come to me but stay very weak- YABBA DABBA DOO!!!
Bring me just rain and nothing more

LOL Just Kidding...

[Noah]

If this thing forms where will it head?

[cycloneye]

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF JAMAICA. THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE BIT MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT.



11:30 AM TWO.

[Ixolib]

Bam (Bam) !!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF JAMAICA. THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE BIT MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT.



11:30 AM TWO.

A joke wishcast:
Finally some hope for some rain if a cold front brings it towards me
as a very weak system!!! YIPPPEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sincerely, Troll Master Tampa Bay

[HURAKAN]

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF JAMAICA. THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE BIT MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT.



11:30 AM TWO.

Finally some hope for some rain if a cold front brings it towards me
as a very weak system!!! YIPPPEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Remember that every cyclone starts weak and then become monsters, so don't wish anything like a cyclone.

[cycloneye]

Windtalker1 I have a feeling that this thread will be the most viewed and replied one in comming days so if you dont mind I am editing many times part of the title to put the latest.If an invest goes up this thread will continue open saying invest #...,Comments,Sat Pics,Models thread if it has less than 5 pages.But if it has more than 5 then a new thread will be created for the new invest when they issued it at NRL.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF JAMAICA. THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE BIT MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT.



11:30 AM TWO.

Finally some hope for some rain if a cold front brings it towards me
as a very weak system!!! YIPPPEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Remember that every cyclone starts weak and then become monsters, so don't wish anything like a cyclone.

I know . I do not want a cyclone, just an area of rain
to sit over me for a day or two. I was just joke-wishcasting like my man "Troller Sponger".
I would never want a strong cyclone. I've just been goofy since yesterday when I got criticized at "work" for being too hyper...

I would prefer a drought to a tropical cyclone anyday...

Sincerely,
troller Tampa Bay

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Uh oh...Convection really starting to flare up...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html