TD 24,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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cjrciadt wrote:t numbers up again
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.3 /1000.5mb/ 51.0kt
.1 a hour what is it picking up?
From where you got this information? The last vortex that I posted was 1002 mbs and the plane is heading to base now so it is important that you say from where this information comes from.
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This is 100% unoffical, and not the opinion of storm2k. This is merely the opinion of the poster and please refer to NHC, NWS, and local media for offical statements, advisories and warnings.
This is open to complete critqueing and I mean it.
I think that this is most defentaly the time of year that a cold front can come down and turn a storm right into Tampa Bay. This season has been big city year, and I'm afraid that we aren't done with the big city hits this year.
This is 100% unoffical, and not the opinion of storm2k. This is merely the opinion of the poster and please refer to NHC, NWS, and local media for offical statements, advisories and warnings.
This is open to complete critqueing and I mean it.
I think that this is most defentaly the time of year that a cold front can come down and turn a storm right into Tampa Bay. This season has been big city year, and I'm afraid that we aren't done with the big city hits this year.
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- gatorcane
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This is 100% unoffical, and not the opinion of storm2k. This is merely the opinion of the poster and please refer to NHC, NWS, and local media for offical statements, advisories and warnings.
This is open to complete critqueing and I mean it.
I think that this is most defentaly the time of year that a cold front can come down and turn a storm right into Tampa Bay. This season has been big city year, and I'm afraid that we aren't done with the big city hits this year.
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I agree 100% with this track, you are right on.
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Sorry to sound rude. I don't normally post, only read. Being from Fort Myers Beach I am a little concerned. Having said this, its way too early to tell anything. It just gets on my nerves the way people misguide others by -removed-. The people in Tampa, say this is probably gonna be a tampa hit. The ones in south florida say its gonna hit south Fl. The members in the panhandle say it will hit them, and so on. I just find it so immature that some of you people consider yourselves knowledgable in this field when all you do is wishcast that the hurricane is coming for you.
Anywhere from The keys all the way to Alabama need to watch this, and really noone has more a chance then anyone else. The models will continue to flip flop over the next 5 days. It just amuses me that everyone says "its coming to my area", especially after all the damage we have see this year. Why do you want your local environment changed dramitcally, I know I love it here in Fort Myers Beach, and a hurricane would basically make a beautiful area a real mess, not to mention deaths and destruction.
Anywhere from The keys all the way to Alabama need to watch this, and really noone has more a chance then anyone else. The models will continue to flip flop over the next 5 days. It just amuses me that everyone says "its coming to my area", especially after all the damage we have see this year. Why do you want your local environment changed dramitcally, I know I love it here in Fort Myers Beach, and a hurricane would basically make a beautiful area a real mess, not to mention deaths and destruction.
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jhamps10 wrote:<a href="http://s4m.us" target="_blank"><img alt="Image Hosted by S4M.us Image Hosting" src="http://s4m.us/uploads/bff8728315.gif" /></a>
This is 100% unoffical, and not the opinion of storm2k. This is merely the opinion of the poster and please refer to NHC, NWS, and local media for offical statements, advisories and warnings.
This is open to complete critqueing and I mean it.
I think that this is most defentaly the time of year that a cold front can come down and turn a storm right into Tampa Bay. This season has been big city year, and I'm afraid that we aren't done with the big city hits this year.
Your landfall location is similar to that of the 18Z oct. 16 GFS
I REALLY hope that doesn't verify---man this is getting
really weird....
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Sun Oct 16, 2005 6:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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edbri871 wrote:Sorry to sound rude. I don't normally post, only read. Being from Fort Myers Beach I am a little concerned. Having said this, its way too early to tell anything. It just gets on my nerves the way people misguide others by -removed-. The people in Tampa, say this is probably gonna be a tampa hit. The ones in south florida say its gonna hit south Fl. The members in the panhandle say it will hit them, and so on. I just find it so immature that some of you people consider yourselves knowledgable in this field when all you do is wishcast that the hurricane is coming for you.
Anywhere from The keys all the way to Alabama need to watch this, and really noone has more a chance then anyone else. The models will continue to flip flop over the next 5 days. It just amuses me that everyone says "its coming to my area", especially after all the damage we have see this year. Why do you want your local environment changed dramitcally, I know I love it here in Fort Myers Beach, and a hurricane would basically make a beautiful area a real mess, not to mention deaths and destruction.
Well I think your wrong and a lot ways. Not being rude either but there are smart people on here and some unsmart. A lot of us are making our forecast based off models. When the GFS ultimately seems to want keep bring it towards west florida then we are going to predict its going there. It would be dumb if models all have it hitting Pensacola to say oh its hitting Tampa. We go by research and models and forecast to the best of our ability.
Matt
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18z GFDL and 12z ECMWF anyone?
Until we get a better sense of the players including a tight center with some movement then I believe were likely to play flip flop regarding the models. At best the most logical threat based on climatology would be Tampa south too the keys. BTW does anyone have the 12z ECMWF?
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jhamps10 wrote:<a href="http://s4m.us" target="_blank"><img alt="Image Hosted by S4M.us Image Hosting" src="http://s4m.us/uploads/bff8728315.gif" /></a>
This is 100% unoffical, and not the opinion of storm2k. This is merely the opinion of the poster and please refer to NHC, NWS, and local media for offical statements, advisories and warnings.
This is open to complete critqueing and I mean it.
I think that this is most defentaly the time of year that a cold front can come down and turn a storm right into Tampa Bay. This season has been big city year, and I'm afraid that we aren't done with the big city hits this year.
Absolute rubbish.. Your forecast is about as good as your use of html tags. Strengthening to 155MPH at landfall?
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