possible N.O evacuation due to Wilma

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Opal storm

possible N.O evacuation due to Wilma

#1 Postby Opal storm » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:04 pm

0 likes   

Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:04 pm

Are you serious???
0 likes   

SamSagnella
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Age: 39
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:02 pm
Location: Westport, CT
Contact:

#3 Postby SamSagnella » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:05 pm

Well I would hope that if Wilma heads their way that they do order an evacuation...IF
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#4 Postby skysummit » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:05 pm

All media hype. I'm guessing we'll have CNN on the streets within the next day or so. :roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#5 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:06 pm

With questionable and damaged levees, a 4 foot surge will fill the lower
9th ward and other areas right back up.
0 likes   

Opal storm

#6 Postby Opal storm » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:07 pm

I don't think an evacuation will be needed,looks like the threat has shifted much farther east since yesterday.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:08 pm

Its mostly toast any way. Why did they even open a city that is under sea level. Expect every time a tropical storm or hurricane moves into the Gulf for this to happen.
0 likes   

SamSagnella
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Age: 39
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:02 pm
Location: Westport, CT
Contact:

#8 Postby SamSagnella » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:08 pm

Well as DH mentioned, it wouldn't take all that much to overwhelm the already damaged levees. REMEMBER WHAT RITA DID WHEN IT MADE LANDFALL MORE THAN 200 MILES AWAY?!? A landfall even as far away as the FL big bend could spell trouble...
0 likes   

truballer#1

#9 Postby truballer#1 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:10 pm

its crazy down dar in NO, i FEEL SRRY FOR ALL DEM PEOPLE DOWN DAR
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#10 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:14 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its mostly toast any way. Why did they even open a city that is under sea level. Expect every time a tropical storm or hurricane moves into the Gulf for this to happen.


Well Matt, when D'Iberville and others settled in these parts, I don't think
they had a clue about hurricanes. They knew that they needed to be
close to water for shipping. A big river - the Mississippi River, was handy
as well.

Now, this is the first time since 1965 that any tropical storm has flooded
the city. Once in 40 years, and many storms have passed by the
greater New Orleans area in that time that did not flood NOLA at all.

It's easy to sit back and say "why" now, but it's part of America, it's one
of our oldest cities. When the next earthquake levels San Francisco,
should we exhibit that same attitude towards them? I don't think so.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#11 Postby gatorcane » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:14 pm

Well as DH mentioned, it wouldn't take all that much to overwhelm the already damaged levees. REMEMBER WHAT RITA DID WHEN IT MADE LANDFALL MORE THAN 200 MILES AWAY?!? A landfall even as far away as the FL big bend could spell trouble...


No, NOLA won't see anything from this. They will be on the NW side of the storm; the storm should cross the FL peninsula hundreds of miles away. The NW side is a weak side usually.
0 likes   

MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:

#12 Postby MWatkins » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:14 pm

More than anything else...he's managed to keep the weary city in the headlines.

That's a big...big if...not one forecaster or forecast model is coming anyplace close to New Orleans.

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#13 Postby dhweather » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:17 pm

Nagin is damned if he does, and damned if he doesn't.

He wanted to repopulate before Rita, he was critisized. Too risky with a
storm about to enter the gulf.

Now he says be ready to leave, as a storm is about to enter the gulf.

He can't win.
0 likes   

User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#14 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:25 pm

I just cant see Wilma being a NOLA threat this time of year. Sure sometime the N GOM is hit....Juan 1985 but the pattern has and is changing more.....the Westerlies are here and cooling has begun
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Terrell
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 634
Joined: Sat Sep 10, 2005 5:10 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida

#15 Postby Terrell » Mon Oct 17, 2005 8:50 pm

How sure are we, really, as to where on the gulf coast Wilma will make landfall? It's probably wise for Mayor Nagin to at least consider the possibility that Wilma may require evacuation of NO, but we probably need more time to be sure though if an evac will be needed. It would be nice if there was some way for Wilma to not make landfall but given the geography of the GOM that seems very unlikely.
0 likes   

User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#16 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:11 pm

I have to think it's a no-brainer that this storm heads NE soon after passing Cuba. Anywhere from Tampa southward will get this one, IMHO.
0 likes   

User avatar
Jam151
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 276
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:09 pm

#17 Postby Jam151 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:12 pm

dhweather wrote:Nagin is damned if he does, and damned if he doesn't.

He wanted to repopulate before Rita, he was critisized. Too risky with a
storm about to enter the gulf.

Now he says be ready to leave, as a storm is about to enter the gulf.

He can't win.


+ 1. What do people expect? The city gov goes by the offical track, and earlier today it looked ominous to those who don't keep up with TCs all the time. I don't know why it's so surprising.
0 likes   

CajunMama
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 10791
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:57 pm
Location: 30.22N, 92.05W Lafayette, LA

#18 Postby CajunMama » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:10 pm

KatDaddy wrote:I just cant see Wilma being a NOLA threat this time of year. Sure sometime the N GOM is hit....Juan 1985 but the pattern has and is changing more.....the Westerlies are here and cooling has begun


Don forget Lili hit on Oct. 4, 2002 (almost 2 weeks earlier in the month than now though).
0 likes   

User avatar
Recurve
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1640
Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:59 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#19 Postby Recurve » Tue Oct 18, 2005 1:08 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its mostly toast any way. Why did they even open a city that is under sea level. Expect every time a tropical storm or hurricane moves into the Gulf for this to happen.


For pete's sake, read some history. New Orleans has been there since 1718 or so.
0 likes   

tornadochaser86
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:19 am
Location: University of South Alabama
Contact:

#20 Postby tornadochaser86 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 1:24 am

ya poor new orleans the this is the last thing they want to hear a storm in the gulf again
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 83 guests