Wilma CAT 5?

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f5
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Wilma CAT 5?

#1 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:22 pm

i know this is why out here but i got a strange feeling she will become a monster low shear ,hot deep jacuzzi water before weakening some i know the pros will probably say the chances are zero but they said the same thing about Katrina/Rita at first than boom CAT 5 overnight.Remember 2005 has been a year where climotology has been bucked time and time again so anything is possible
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#2 Postby Scorpion » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:23 pm

I wouldn't be surprised at all.
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#3 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:24 pm

anything can happen, especially this year
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#4 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:26 pm

Its acting like Katrina...Which means its putting its energy into growing...Then when it reaches its wented size its winds will go up...Because of the dry air to the north...In the strong trough. Its questable but its possible.
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#5 Postby djtil » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:27 pm

im an anti-hypster and tend to lean towards reality and the more conservative type of things.....but.......in this case i dont see why it wouldnt be possible in the next 2 days seeing everything weve seen this year......and a cat 4 just seems likely.

i am far more reserved about the eventual landfall and dont expect more than a cat 1.
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#6 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:27 pm

Highly doubt it. There will be land interaction this time... and there "should" be some shear increasing...
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#7 Postby El Nino » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:27 pm

They said about Rita and Katrina that she will reach cat5 and bomb, GFDL first.

I don't think Wilma will reach cat5, but cat4 is a good possibility.
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#8 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 3:33 pm

yoda wrote:Highly doubt it. There will be land interaction this time... and there "should" be some shear increasing...


shear won't be increasing until the end of the week
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#9 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:02 pm

it won't weaken much once Wilma starts moving fast.also if she has a Katrina/Rita type wind field it will have tremendous storm surge unlike Charley since he had a tight wind core
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#10 Postby MGC » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:04 pm

No Cat-5 this time. Might get to Cat-3 but should weaken to Cat-2 by the time Wilma reaches Florida waters.......MGC
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what will effect will the wind shear be??

#11 Postby oceanguync » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:06 pm

It looks like it will be moving fast when it appraches florida--what effect wll thishave on the wind shear?? coments please??
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#12 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:07 pm

MGC wrote:No Cat-5 this time. Might get to Cat-3 but should weaken to Cat-2 by the time Wilma reaches Florida waters.......MGC


thats not what the NHC says! According to the 5pm discussion they have it going to 115kts which is 132mph or cat4!
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#13 Postby quandary » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:09 pm

everyone gets those strange feelings after Rita and Katrina (although Rita was very scary because it was hyped to be a monster and then did become a monster!).

Wilma is in the place to have a shot at Cat 5. Mitch was a Cat 5 here during a similar part of the year and so were Gilbert and Allen. However, Cat 5s just aren't that common. There have been 2 and possibly a 3rd in Emily. What are the odds of a fourth?
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#14 Postby quandary » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:12 pm

On the other hand, Cat 4 Wilma is a strong possibility and Cat 5 Wilma is unlikely but not out of the question. Look for: ridicuously good outflow channels and a period of rapid intensification. I suspect that Wilma's first peak will be her greatest intensity... excepting minor fluctations of up to 5 mph. Once she starts to decay, she won't be in the position to make it up again.
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#15 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:54 pm

2005 the year of the CAT 5 if this thing reaches CAT 5 this will be the 3rd or 4th CAT 5 to form this season but that all depends on Emily's reanalysis
we average 2 major hurricanes a year but this year major hurricane means CAT 5 monsters that looks like a giant home depot buzzsaw with a big eye in the middle(Katrina)
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#16 Postby LSU2001 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:39 pm

Well Katrina proved that a storm does not have to be a Cat 5 to do tremendous damage. I pray that Wilma really drops off way before hitting fla. I would hate to see a cat 4 or 5 type surge with a Cat 2 or 3 storm. This country simply cannot afford too much more damage.
TIm :flag: :flag: :flag:
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#17 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:41 pm

lsu2001 wrote:Well Katrina proved that a storm does not have to be a Cat 5 to do tremendous damage. I pray that Wilma really drops off way before hitting fla. I would hate to see a cat 4 or 5 type surge with a Cat 2 or 3 storm. This country simply cannot afford too much more damage.
TIm :flag: :flag: :flag:


at landfall.Katrina was a CAT 5 out at sea
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#18 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:04 pm

Watching my local news tonight,our met said she will get as strong as cat.4 .Have a feeling Wilma will go cat 5 :eek:
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#19 Postby Marilyn » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:08 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Watching my local news tonight,our met said she will get as strong as cat.4 .Have a feeling Wilma will go cat 5 :eek:


I am glad you posted that :uarrow: Our met here in NC said the same thing. a possible cat 4 at landfall :cry: I sure hope NOT. I was afraid i would scare people if i mentioned it.
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#20 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:12 pm

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