Wilma CAT 5?

f5 · #21 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:12 pm

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Wilma's Future?

wxmann_91 · #22 Postby **wxmann_91** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:13 pm

It's possible as long as Wilma stays in the Caribbean. I'm waiting for NHC to mention the FSU Superensemble, that's really the model I trust most, and it was the most bullish on both Katrina and Rita when they were both strengthening Cat 1's.

#23 Postby **LSU2001** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:27 pm

f5 wrote:
lsu2001 wrote:Well Katrina proved that a storm does not have to be a Cat 5 to do tremendous damage. I pray that Wilma really drops off way before hitting fla. I would hate to see a cat 4 or 5 type surge with a Cat 2 or 3 storm. This country simply cannot afford too much more damage.
TIm

at landfall.Katrina was a CAT 5 out at sea

I am well aware that Katrina was a CAT 5 until she weakened just offshore. I was talking about a storm that weakens but maintains a higher category surge. Katrina pushed a terrific surge well in excess of what would be expected from a CAT 3 or 4. I think many people were caught off guard by the tremendous surge. That was the point I was trying to make.
Tim 8-)

f5 · #24 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:28 pm

hopefully it won't be north of Tampa Bay

johngaltfla · #25 Postby **johngaltfla** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:43 pm

MGC wrote:No Cat-5 this time. Might get to Cat-3 but should weaken to Cat-2 by the time Wilma reaches Florida waters.......MGC

Locals are calling for a Cat 4 weakening to a Cat 3 at landfall.

I like your idea better though. Or dissipation really is high on my list. :eek:

#26 Postby **Buck** » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:03 pm

Cat 5 is definitely possible... I wouldn't say likely... but very possible. Especially with the pressure dropping like a rock already. We'll probably have a Cat 4 tomorrow morning.

f5 · #27 Postby f5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:42 am

Buck wrote:Cat 5 is definitely possible... I wouldn't say likely... but very possible. Especially with the pressure dropping like a rock already. We'll probably have a Cat 4 tomorrow morning.

She already a CAT 4

#28 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:43 am

Guess it's no longer just "possible" but likely. :eek:

Terrell · #29 Postby **Terrell** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:49 am

I heard at 1:20am EDT that Wilma had sustained winds of 150mph, if she keeps strengthening then she'll probably get those 6 mph she needs to reach Cat 5. I still hope she weakens though before reaching landfall.

HurricaneBill · #30 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:41 am

Terrell wrote:I heard at 1:20am EDT that Wilma had sustained winds of 150mph, if she keeps strengthening then she'll probably get those 6 mph she needs to reach Cat 5. I still hope she weakens though before reaching landfall.

Oh, she'll definitely weaken prior to landfall. A hurricane can't maintain Category 5 for long.

I predict we'll be having another screaming match with Derek about her intensity at landfall. :lol:

superfly · #31 Postby **superfly** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:42 am

These storms keep one-upping the other ones intensity wise. Katrina 902, Rita 897, Wilma 892.

f5 · #32 Postby f5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:43 am

HurricaneBill wrote:
Terrell wrote:I heard at 1:20am EDT that Wilma had sustained winds of 150mph, if she keeps strengthening then she'll probably get those 6 mph she needs to reach Cat 5. I still hope she weakens though before reaching landfall.

Oh, she'll definitely weaken prior to landfall. A hurricane can't maintain Category 5 for long.

I predict we'll be having another screaming match with Derek about her intensity at landfall.

NHC has final say nuff said

Terrell · #33 Postby **Terrell** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 2:25 am

superfly wrote:These storms keep one-upping the other ones intensity wise. Katrina 902, Rita 897, Wilma 892.

I'd have to agree. These female storms whose names end in A (except for Maria) are playing 1up with each other. Hopefully Beta won't decide she wants to 1up Wilma

mtm4319 · #34 Postby **mtm4319** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 2:27 am

Terrell wrote:
superfly wrote:These storms keep one-upping the other ones intensity wise. Katrina 902, Rita 897, Wilma 892.

I'd have to agree. These female storms whose names end in A are playing 1up with each other. Hopefully Beta won't decide she wants to 1up Wilma

Thankfully, I don't think we have to worry about that anymore. After all, the Greek letters don't have a gender.

Terrell · #35 Postby **Terrell** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 2:31 am

mtm4319 wrote:
Terrell wrote:
superfly wrote:These storms keep one-upping the other ones intensity wise. Katrina 902, Rita 897, Wilma 892.

I'd have to agree. These female storms whose names end in A are playing 1up with each other. Hopefully Beta won't decide she wants to 1up Wilma

Thankfully, I don't think we have to worry about that anymore. After all, the Greek letters don't have a gender.

Yeah, the Beta/Wilma joke was because if greek letters did have gender beta would be female (this season) with a name ending in A. :lol:

#36 Postby **Mattie** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 5:48 am

Your feelings were right on target - a category 5 she is. . .

Wilma CAT 5?

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