Did Wilma really miss the shortwave trough?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
krysof

Did Wilma really miss the shortwave trough?

#1 Postby krysof » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:42 pm

The mets and the NHC said that because it didn't make the turn, but it is turning probably NNW over the past several hours and maybe it didn't miss it, but it just didn't feel its effects, but now since its close to it, it is going NNW.
0 likes   
Top
southeast fl
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 3:28 pm
Location: Palm Beach County

#2 Postby southeast fl » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:16 pm

Dr. Steve Lyons on TWC just said 2 minutes ago that it did miss the trough, but another one is coming through on Sunday to sweep it East (towards FL).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#3 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:19 pm

She missed the 1st one, but there's a 2nd one coming, and even a 3rd.
0 likes   
Top
Foladar0

#4 Postby Foladar0 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:20 pm

The news has described it like this:
The FIRST trough is just going to nudge it, not shove it into FL like expected. The second, and third troughs are suppose to shove it into Florida's directions, the second trough is suppose to 'catch up' into the first trough and help carry this storm into Florida.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:22 pm

The first trough is missing it but exerting a slight northerly pull.

The reason why this northerly pull has continued I think
has to do with the eroding of the high that was supposed to
suppress Wilma's north component.

Thus that initial exertion of northerly pull by the trough has caused the
storm to start north, and it is continuing north because the high
is eroding...
0 likes   
Top
djtil
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 699
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 10:09 am

#6 Postby djtil » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:23 pm

read the 5pm nhc discussion.....everything is covered there
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: TallyTracker, Teban54 and 112 guests