Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[LAwxrgal]

Cycloneye knew this thread would break Katrina's "record" of 110 pages. Now the question is....

Can this thread go 200 pages????

[Brent]

Show it coming out right over me. But it will probably only be like tropical force winds, right? Debbie

It will likely be a hurricane when it re-emerges if it makes landfall as a Cat 2.

Thanks Brent, when is it supposed to make landfall? Monday? I have been off the board since yesterday afternoon trying to catch up on what is going on. Debbie

Yes... it will cross the Peninsula in about 6-8 hours. It's going to have a VERY large windfield but will be moving rapidly.

[6SpeedTA95]

Whats the latest on the possible New England Impact of this storm?

[tampaflwx]

GFS looks to be moving morth north...worse for Tampa... will this shift be reflected by other models?

[Brent]

Whats the latest on the possible New England Impact of this storm?

Doesn't look like it'll be terribly significant... from NWS Taunton, MA:

MAIN QUESTION
INCLUDES THE TIMING FOR ANY CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...RELATED TO THE TRACK OF WILMA. A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE
DROPPING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY WILL REACH THE NORTHEAST BY
MONDAY. WILMA WILL TRACK BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC RIDGE. THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF ITS
PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL PARTIALLY DEPEND UPON HOW QUICKLY WILMA
TURNS EXTRATROPICAL AND ITS TRACK. CURRENT TROPICAL PREDICTION FORECAST
HAS WILMA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY 00Z ON THE 26TH OR BY TUESDAY
EVENING. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS THE SYSTEM PASSING WELL SOUTHEAST
OF THE BENCHMARK POSITION. HOWEVER AS WILMA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL
(COLD CORE)...ITS PRECIPITATION SHIELD SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPAND
WESTWARD TO INCLUDE AT LEAST EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THE CURRENT FORECAST INCLUDES A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE TUESDAY AND INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA. FUTURE REFINEMENTS
TO THE AREAL COVERAGE MAY BE NEEDED BUT FOR NOW CONTINUED WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE ENTIRE REGION DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.

[DIDDLESBABE]

I know I am not good at reading these things - but am I seeing it
taking Wilma more North - as in over Ft. Myers ?!?!?!?!?

Any help in explaining this sure would be appreciated, as I am IN FT.
MYERS.....
Thanks

[Bgator]

GFS looks to be moving morth north...worse for Tampa... will this shift be reflected by other models?

The GFS has been in that area for the past 2 days, Tampa calm down, a DIRECT hit is unlikely, but due to the large wind feild most of florida will get TS winds maybe Cane gusts!Tornadoes will be to south and east of system!

[Myersgirl]

Local met said here "further north, weaker strom, further south, stronger"

[whereverwx]

I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…

[Wacahootaman]

According to the current weather map the cold front is already into north Florida.!

How can the cane move into this cooler air? Or will this front stall and become a high speed rail for the hurricane to move south of it into Florida.

Wilma is not supposed to be here till Monday.

Wont this cooler air force it south of Florida if this cold front moves south?

http://www.weatherunderground.com/US/Re ... ronts.html

[Bgator]

According to the current weather map the cold front is already into north Florida.!

How can the cane move into this cooler air? Or will this front stall and become a high speed rail for the hurricane to move south of it into Florida.

Wilma is not supposed to be here till Monday.

Wont this cooler air force it south of Florida if this cold front moves south?

http://www.weatherunderground.com/US/Re ... ronts.html

Depens how fast this cold front goes, that y a tampa hit is becoming less liekly as the fron is in NFLA now!

[Brent]

It's not going to clear the state until Wilma is through Florida...

[CronkPSU]

I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…

and that people think it has no chance of being more than a cat 1 at florida landfall...waaaaay too early IMHO for people to start celebrating

[storms in NC]

take a look and you can see the eye about to go back into the water.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFWV.JPG

[HurricaneQueen]

Looks as if the eye is getting ready to leave the YP very shortly. Now we await the next phase.

Lynn

[6SpeedTA95]

Thanks for the info on the NE impact...

This thing is picking up a bit of an eastward drift/wobble...another hour we should know if its a sustained movement in a more easterly direction.

[THead]

I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…

and that people think it has no chance of being more than a cat 1 at florida landfall...waaaaay too early IMHO for people to start celebrating

No kiddin, she has a history. I wouldn't be too surprised to see her make a run at 140 or so again, as soon as she exits the YP. And if she gets back to cat 4 status or worse, and starts this beeline acceleration toward fla.....she is not going to have much time to weaken. I mean cmon, she will still be over water, she's over LAND now and still a cat3!

[CronkPSU]

still a lot of red on the IR loops

[artist]

does that not look like the eye that is almost completely over the water?

[Myersgirl]

does that not look like the eye that is almost completely over the water?

looks that way, boy that was sooner than I thought