tampastorm wrote:TampaFl wrote:stormy1959 wrote:Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... s-dlm.htmlLooking at the steering currents right now, I see a steeper angle through the state than the forecast calls for. I see Wima entering between Naples and Sarasota and exiting Melbourne to Daytona. Unless these steering currents change, I don't see a more southern trek that the models are calling for.
Agree Stormy 1959. Based on Wilma's current pressure of 961MB here is the current steering flow.:

Can you go more in depth what you see here and why? thanks
Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am no meteorologist, but I did sleep at a Holiday Inn last night
If you look at the map, there is a small trof located north of Wilma just south of the Central Gulf Coast and a large ridge east of Florida. The current steering flow over Florida is from south to north according to the map. IMHO, based on this and current sattilite showing Wilma elongated NNe , not NE to ENE. IMHO I would think that a track between NE & NNE for today would seem correct. But this is just speculation as I am sure there is more to it. Check out Nexrads morning update in the Tropical Anatysis fourm for a better explanation of all this. Like I said just my opinion. Other thoughts and comments are greatly appreciated.
Robert
