Long range runs of Global Models,Gamma in Caribbean?

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DESTRUCTION5
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#21 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Nov 09, 2005 12:10 pm

GFS Certainly saying Subtropical with that trail of Moisture...Bot other models look a bit more tropical..
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#22 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 09, 2005 6:35 pm

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18zGFS shows what appears a subtropical low deepening.
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Scorpion

#23 Postby Scorpion » Wed Nov 09, 2005 7:43 pm

This image shows an interesting low near Cuba.

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#24 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Nov 09, 2005 7:49 pm

what is that there under cuba?
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#25 Postby Windtalker1 » Wed Nov 09, 2005 9:35 pm

and with a cold front coming down. could she be heading toward Florida?
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#26 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Nov 09, 2005 9:38 pm

Windtalker1 wrote:and with a cold front coming down. could she be heading toward Florida?


Why say it do you?
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#27 Postby Windtalker1 » Wed Nov 09, 2005 9:40 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:
Windtalker1 wrote:and with a cold front coming down. could she be heading toward Florida?


Why say it do you?
Something to talk about at this slow time in the season....no really, storms that form to the South of us usually get picked up by an approaching cold front...AKA Wilma...thought this might happen again if the long range pans out.....PS... I was dead on with Wilma
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#28 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Nov 09, 2005 11:06 pm

Image

Could part of that wave move into the carib. and cause some trouble. Is that what the models are picking up on. I would say no but, i'm just wondering.
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 10, 2005 5:44 am

Image

00z GFS shows a bunch of lows including one over me. :roll: But let's continue to watch the future runs from this model and others to see consensus and persistance from the models.
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#30 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Nov 10, 2005 8:17 am

Canadian Stirring up Hurricane Gamma...Been Consistant

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... =Animation
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Rainband

#31 Postby Rainband » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:02 am

Even if this develops its will not be a threat to the United states. Thats the good news.
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#32 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:03 am

Rainband wrote:Even if this develops its will not be a threat to the United states. Thats the good news.


Bingo!! No threat to the US indeed IF something develops
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#33 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:27 am

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I don't know about that cause CMC also builds a strong ridge to the north of it
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#34 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:32 am

Image

UKMET is in on the fun too.
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Model Runs

#35 Postby jusforsean » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:49 am

Living in South Florida myself I can tell you that even a swipe of another storm not only would turn us upside sown considering most of us are now sporting the blue roof look due to tarps and debris is everywhere but the insurance compaines are still no where to be found. So all in all I think the sanity level of South Floridians would be pushed over the top at the threat of yet another storm. I keep telling my self that is the preice I pay for living here. Many of my friends and neighbors have vowed to move out if we are hit again this season. Otherwise it wouldnt suprise me as this is 2005 season and anything goes. Can soemone tell me where i can get a link to show these model runs?? I can get to the GFDL and such but on the left you have to choose a disturbance to look at and if there isnt one what do you do? Thanks for any info.
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#36 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:51 am

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Re: Model Runs

#37 Postby fci » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:59 am

jusforsean wrote:Living in South Florida myself I can tell you that even a swipe of another storm not only would turn us upside sown considering most of us are now sporting the blue roof look due to tarps and debris is everywhere but the insurance compaines are still no where to be found. So all in all I think the sanity level of South Floridians would be pushed over the top at the threat of yet another storm. I keep telling my self that is the preice I pay for living here. Many of my friends and neighbors have vowed to move out if we are hit again this season. Otherwise it wouldnt suprise me as this is 2005 season and anything goes. Can soemone tell me where i can get a link to show these model runs?? I can get to the GFDL and such but on the left you have to choose a disturbance to look at and if there isnt one what do you do? Thanks for any info.


The link is:
http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

Rather than pick a name click on the "Can I see the global models please???"
Then just choose your model.

We found the link very helpful for Wilma as we looked at each models run. Unfortunately they were in consensus so we knew what was going to happen, which it did.

Yeah, people would totally freak if another storm came here.
My adjuster is currently on the roof assessing damage.
I know you are frustrated with not seeing your insurance company but hang in there, the list of visits for them to make is LONG.

Finally, if only the Canadian shows a development, it has been notoriously poor of late and I would hold little faith in it. Only if others latch on would I worry and then still question whether a storm could come here from the east anyway.
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#38 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:01 am

nogaps is picking up on something the carib.

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#39 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:03 am

Here is a cool page you can check out also


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/index.html/
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#40 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:06 am

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