TWO Caribbean thread

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HURAKAN
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TWO Caribbean thread

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 10, 2005 5:37 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST THU NOV 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED OVER PANAMA AND THE
ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN
Last edited by HURAKAN on Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Nov 10, 2005 5:50 pm

uh oh... :yayaya:
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#3 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:09 pm

you have got to be kidding me :roll:
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:13 pm

Conditions are expected to become rather favorable over the Caribbean in the next few days.
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#5 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:15 pm

oh come on people! you can't tell me you didnt think this was gonna happen! look at the past few months. you can't tell me after all that, that you thought we were going to have a quiet November :wink:
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#6 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:19 pm

well nogaps isnt shy developing this...

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#7 Postby southerngale » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:19 pm

Let it hit 40mph for a name, then dissipate before affecting any land!
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#8 Postby sponger » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:25 pm

Yep, all we want is a name. TS Gamma sounds pretty cool. Some surf for the east coast would be nice!
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#9 Postby ronjon » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:35 pm

Yeah, the Euro has jumped on board with a low pressure developing in the SW Caribbean and moving N-NW off the NE coast of Honduras in 168 hrs. Add in the NOGAPS and GFS too. Pretty strong model support for something to develop.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 12!!!step/
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#10 Postby Scorpion » Thu Nov 10, 2005 6:37 pm

Hopefully the trough is strong so it misses Florida.
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#11 Postby TheShrimper » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:29 pm

If this develops and aims at Fl., I am outta here. I have had enough. This is the longest 6 months I have ever experienced and this will be the final nail in the coffin, not only for me but for the real estate market in Fl. If this entity screws up race week in Homestead, I am done. I have already put my once thought of investment properties on the market here in SW. Fl. no one will be able to afford to live here, if the upcoming seasons even come close to rivaling the last two. Walking on eggshells,,,theShrimper. Thank God I had the foresight to buy property in N Fl. a few years ago, as the people from down here are scurrying to but anything in the Gainseville, Ocala and Cross City area. Unbelievable.
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#12 Postby Scorpion » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:33 pm

Well with this active cycle it will be like the 40's, except back then Florida was very sparsely developed.
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#13 Postby jusforsean » Thu Nov 10, 2005 7:58 pm

The Shrimper"If this develops and aims at Fl., I am outta here. I have had enough. This is the longest 6 months I have ever experienced and this will be the final nail in the coffin,"

I second that! Except I have given up on staying in Fl why bother your at risk throughout the entire penn. I am thinking of Texas, Rockwall no hurricanes tornadoes and mild winters...hmmmm sounds good. I love it here but its getting crazy :D
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#14 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2005 9:25 pm

Low and mid level wind flow is out of the NE-ENE down there, so this system should be crossing Central America and going into the East Pac, not northward. In fact, all convection has now moved across Panama and IS in the East Pac.

That said, the southwest and south-central Caribbean is THE place to keep an eye on in the next 5-10 days. There are a few very weak tropical waves moving westward toward that area, and when that frontal system becomes stationary down there by next week, we could see another storm develop.
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#15 Postby Anonymous » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:03 pm

wxman57 wrote:Low and mid level wind flow is out of the NE-ENE down there, so this system should be crossing Central America and going into the East Pac, not northward. In fact, all convection has now moved across Panama and IS in the East Pac.

That said, the southwest and south-central Caribbean is THE place to keep an eye on in the next 5-10 days. There are a few very weak tropical waves moving westward toward that area, and when that frontal system becomes stationary down there by next week, we could see another storm develop.


Beven says it will slowly drift north
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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 10, 2005 10:22 pm


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST THU NOV 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUES OVER PANAMA...COSTA
RICA...AND THE ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS
IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#17 Postby boca » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:13 pm

The area by Panama already moved west into the Eastern Pacific.
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#18 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Nov 10, 2005 11:32 pm

It will flare back up in the carib.... It's already starting to now.
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#19 Postby P.K. » Fri Nov 11, 2005 4:23 am

ABNT20 KNHC 110912
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST FRI NOV 11 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND THE
ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#20 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Nov 11, 2005 7:01 am

TheShrimper wrote:If this develops and aims at Fl., I am outta here. I have had enough. This is the longest 6 months I have ever experienced and this will be the final nail in the coffin, not only for me but for the real estate market in Fl. If this entity screws up race week in Homestead, I am done. I have already put my once thought of investment properties on the market here in SW. Fl. no one will be able to afford to live here, if the upcoming seasons even come close to rivaling the last two. Walking on eggshells,,,theShrimper. Thank God I had the foresight to buy property in N Fl. a few years ago, as the people from down here are scurrying to but anything in the Gainseville, Ocala and Cross City area. Unbelievable.


You enjoy north florida and the chilly winters while i am out by my pool in february.
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