Long range runs of Global Models,Gamma in Caribbean?
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- cycloneye
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Soon the 12z run of the global models will be out so let's see what they have.
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- jusforsean
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pls help
ok i have posted before and everyone helped me find the links i was looking for but heres my question at hand:
I can get to the global models like gfs ukmed etc....
now when you want to pull one up you have to choose from the drop down menus..Model Initial Time Field Hour
well i know how to choose the number of hours out but on the left theres a box inital time to choose a system like 93i ect.... in a case like this there is no named invest or system to choose so what do i do? thanks for your help
I can get to the global models like gfs ukmed etc....
now when you want to pull one up you have to choose from the drop down menus..Model Initial Time Field Hour
well i know how to choose the number of hours out but on the left theres a box inital time to choose a system like 93i ect.... in a case like this there is no named invest or system to choose so what do i do? thanks for your help
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- cycloneye
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12z GFS is starting to come out.Above is at 72 hours.
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- cycloneye
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12z GFS at 84 hours.
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- cycloneye
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Re: pls help
jusforsean wrote:ok i have posted before and everyone helped me find the links i was looking for but heres my question at hand:
I can get to the global models like gfs ukmed etc....
now when you want to pull one up you have to choose from the drop down menus..Model Initial Time Field Hour
well i know how to choose the number of hours out but on the left theres a box inital time to choose a system like 93i ect.... in a case like this there is no named invest or system to choose so what do i do? thanks for your help
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml
Above is where the runs of the GFS model comes out.It has the four times per day the runs come out.
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- cycloneye
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12z GFS at 108 hours.
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- SouthFloridawx
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- cycloneye
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12Z GFS at 138 hours.
Apart from the caribbean it shows a weak low in the Atlantic well NE of the Leewards.
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- SouthFloridawx
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- SouthFloridawx
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This is what the GFS is picking up on



Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Fri Nov 11, 2005 11:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- cycloneye
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GFS at 168 hours.
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- SouthFloridawx
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- cycloneye
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12z GFS at 228 hours.
So far development of that low into a strong system does not show up but let's see later on.
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- cycloneye
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12z GFS at 336 hours.
At very long range the location shifts in terms of development when you look at the eastcentral atlantic.
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- SouthFloridawx
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- cycloneye
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NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 15.0N 66.3W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 15.11.2005 15.0N 66.3W WEAK
12UTC 15.11.2005 14.5N 70.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 16.11.2005 15.0N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 16.11.2005 15.0N 71.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 17.11.2005 15.3N 73.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.11.2005 15.5N 75.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 18.11.2005 15.9N 77.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00z UKMET in the text version.
FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 15.0N 66.3W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 15.11.2005 15.0N 66.3W WEAK
12UTC 15.11.2005 14.5N 70.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 16.11.2005 15.0N 71.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 16.11.2005 15.0N 71.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 17.11.2005 15.3N 73.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.11.2005 15.5N 75.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 18.11.2005 15.9N 77.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00z UKMET in the text version.
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