95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Coredesat · #121 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Nov 21, 2005 11:21 pm

It is REALLY trying to become tropical, but it probably won't. Its window for tropical transition is starting to close. It's approaching the 24C isotherm. Unless this is another Vince, it probably has a day or so.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #122 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 1:16 am

The convection is starting to decrease near the center. In forming into a comma to the north/northeast of the center. This will not become Delta...

JamesFromMaine2 · #123 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 1:22 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The convection is starting to decrease near the center. In forming into a comma to the north/northeast of the center. This will not become Delta...

You maybe right However I wouldn't say that just yet! alot can happen in just a short amount of time!

JamesFromMaine2 · #124 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 6:02 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221010
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST TUE NOV 22 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS...
CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM STILL
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$

#125 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:29 am

The storm should begin to move southward, this should help on its possible subtropical or tropical development.

TS Zack · #126 Postby **TS Zack** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:36 am

It probably won't move any further Southward. It will just stall out and then get picked-up by the incoming trough off the East Coast.

#127 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 8:36 am

22/1145 UTC 31.3N 39.9W ST2.5/2.5 95 -- Atlantic Ocean

NOW WE HAVE A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM ACCORDING TO DVORAK.

#128 Postby **cjrciadt** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 8:42 am

Subtropical Delta? Huh?

Weatherfreak000 · #129 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:05 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The convection is starting to decrease near the center. In forming into a comma to the north/northeast of the center. This will not become Delta...

Stop downtalking the system EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU POST.

It's getting annoying.

#130 Postby **Downdraft** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:14 am

Weatherfreak000 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The convection is starting to decrease near the center. In forming into a comma to the north/northeast of the center. This will not become Delta...

Stop downtalking the system EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU POST.

It's getting annoying.

In this forum when your either positive or negative on a system you have a right to say so. It's one thing to debate an outlook it's another to criticize simply because you personally don't like the statement.

flhurricaneguy · #131 Postby **flhurricaneguy** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:33 am

stop arguing like little girls

#132 Postby **cjrciadt** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:34 am

senorpepr,, what do you think of 95L?

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #133 Postby **senorpepr** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:47 am

cjrciadt wrote:senorpepr,, what do you think of 95L?

I'm more impressed with this than I was a couple of days ago. It really seems to be getting it's act together. I would say a "fair" chance at becoming Subtropical Storm Delta within the next 48 hours. Regardless of making subtropical or tropical transition, it will still be a strong gale for shipping interests.

jusforsean · #134 Postby **jusforsean** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 9:50 am

where exactly do the models have this thing going?

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #135 Postby **senorpepr** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 10:01 am

jusforsean wrote:where exactly do the models have this thing going?

Looks like they want to take it slightly southward until the trough along the East Coast picks it up. At that time, it will head toward SE Europe.

Forecaster Colby · #136 Postby **Forecaster Colby** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:21 am

NOW they call it subtropical?

???? It's organized, but not even sort of tropical now.

Rainband · #137 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:23 am

Weatherfreak000 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The convection is starting to decrease near the center. In forming into a comma to the north/northeast of the center. This will not become Delta...

Stop downtalking the system EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU POST.

It's getting annoying.

Opinions are that of the poster and they are entitled to them.

#138 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:24 am

11:30 AM EDT TWO:

a strong and large non-tropical low pressure system over the central
Atlantic centered about 900 miles west-southwest of the Azores
Islands is moving little. This system is gradually acquiring
tropical characteristics and could become a tropical storm at any
time. Additional information on this system can be found in high
seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
header nfdhsfat1 and WMO header fznt01 kwbc.

TROPICAL STORM DELTA COULD FORM ANYTIME!!!

Forecaster Colby · #139 Postby **Forecaster Colby** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:26 am

How is that subtropical? No deep convection within a parsec of the center...

#140 Postby **cjrciadt** » Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:27 am

Lots of interesting pics on the NRL site.

95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Who is online