18z GFS-Snow for MS/AL/GA/TN on Christmas???

[JenyEliza]

FFC... all hope may not be lost quite yet. It has turned COLD here with this first area of rain.

MODELS STILL INDICATING WRAPAROUND ACROSS NRN 2/3RDS OF CWA SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. WHILE MID LEVEL TEMPS WILL BE MARGINAL FOR SNOW
...AGAIN SFC TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING EXCEPT IN
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000FT. IF WE COULD GET SOME MDT TO HEAVY BANDS OF
PRECIP IT WOULD BE POSSIBLE FOR THE SNOW TO REACH THE SURFACE AND
PERHAPS ACCUMULATE...HOWEVER LIGHT PRECIPITAION IS ABOUT THE BEST
ONE COULD HOPE FOR WITH THIS PATTERN.

Just remember this *is* the very same FFC that a couple of weeks ago said "no ice storm", and then we had one.

IOW, reliability isn't a big factor with them.

[breeze]

I definitely hope it proves me wrong. LOL, I LOVE to be
wrong in circumstances like this!

[Brent]

WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR ARKANSAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1100 PM CST SAT DEC 24 2005

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

ARZ001-003-010-029-250600-
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
FAYETTEVILLE LGT RAIN 39 37 92 NW16 29.83S FOG
FORT SMITH CLOUDY 44 39 82 NW9 29.86R
HARRISON LGT SNOW 33 31 92 W8 29.77S FOG WCI 26
BENTONVILLE CLOUDY 37 36 93 N10G16 29.82S
ROGERS CLOUDY 39 37 93 N13 29.83R
SILOAM SPGS CLOUDY 39 34 81 N16G23 29.86R
HIGHFILL CLOUDY 38 38 100 NW13G22 29.84R FOG

[JenyEliza]

I'm just a smidge too far south to get in on this action, but they're saying NW GA is going to see *now showers tonight.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
344 PM EST SUN DEC 25 2005

GAZ001>009-011>013-019-020-260845-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-FLOYD-BARTOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE
344 PM EST SUN DEC 25 2005

...A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE EXTREME NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT...

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER KENTUCKY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. DURING THE NIGHT THE AIR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR THE RAIN SHOWERS TO BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW IN EXTREME NORTH GEORGIA. THIS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ROME TO JASPER TO JUST NORTH OF HELEN. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAINLY ABOVE 2000 FEET THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO MOSTLY SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE UP TO ONE INCH ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT.

TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS EXTREME NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY DROP TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S DURING THE NIGHT. MOST ROADS SHOULD REMAIN FREE OF ICE HOWEVER SOME PATCHY ICE COULD DEVELOP ON THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN PASSES IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BY MONDAY MORNING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS ON MONDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

[JenyEliza]

[Brent]

If your not above 1,500 feet, then you have no chance.

I've moved on to the prospects for severe weather Wednesday.

[JenyEliza]

If your not above 1,500 feet, then you have no chance.

I've moved on to the prospects for severe weather Wednesday.

I know that, Brent. Did you see where I said this?

I'm just a smidge too far south to get in on this action,

Severe weather as in T-Storms? On Wednesday?

My birthday is Thursday. I want either a massive blizzard, or clear, sunny weather. Not T-storms.

[Jim Cantore]

Worst x-mas weather I can ever remember

yesterday 54 and sunny
today 54 and rain (still 54 and raining now)

This noreaster isnt a dink though I got 995mb pressure right now from 1006 10 hours ago

[Brent]

Severe weather as in T-Storms? On Wednesday?

Thunderstorms are likely... just not sure on the severe weather yet. *Looks like* more of a hail threat for now, but it needs to be monitored. It is Late December which would tend to lessen the chance of an event.

Happy Early Birthday.

Thursday looks a lot like today... cloudy, dreary, chilly, with lingering light rain.

[JenyEliza]

Happy Early Birthday.

Thanks.

Thursday looks a lot like today... cloudy, dreary, chilly, with lingering light rain.

Oh goody. Happy Birthday to me.