GoM?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#41 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:41 am

I would like to see some convection forming near that center. Plus the water is still way to cold to the north.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

#42 Postby tailgater » Fri Mar 03, 2006 10:03 am

IT'S just a UPPER level low people. Look at the water vapor loop, as Luis has shown already.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#43 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Mar 03, 2006 10:25 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
no advance
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 413
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 1:50 pm
Location: merritt is.

#44 Postby no advance » Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:55 am

Very impressive for the beginning of March.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#45 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:00 pm

Looks like some light moisture is heading for Florida...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#46 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:35 pm

FROM NHC Discussion:


A MID-UPPER
LEVEL LOW JUST NE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 22N87W IS
PRODUCING BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS
BETWEEN 83W-89W FROM 18N-26N. THIS FEATURE HAS A SURFACE
REFLECTION AS A TROUGH FROM 20N87W TO 26N84W...HOWEVER...AS OF
LATE THIS MORNING IT HAS MORE CURVATURE TO ITS STRUCTURE AND MAY
BE CLOSING OFF AS A SURFACE LOW IF THIS KEEPS UP. GLOBAL MODELS
DO NOT HAVE IT VERY WELL INITIALIZED AND THEREFORE ARE NOT
FORECASTING ANY
DEVELOPMENT.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#47 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:44 pm

You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#48 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:45 pm

skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1157.shtml?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#49 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:47 pm

drezee wrote:
skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC


LOL...I was just kidding drezee. :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146221
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#50 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:48 pm

As you know at this thread I haved been saying about nothing comming from this as I was very spectical.But I am not surprised anymore as we haved seen the 2005 season.Anything is possible,and when in the past I haved said that in March.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#51 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:48 pm

skysummit wrote:
drezee wrote:
skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC


LOL...I was just kidding drezee. :D


:lol: :lol:

Interesting enough...
Only ship through the area has reported N winds twice. Another report should come next hour...

03/12 ZCBU5 24.0 -88.8 22.5 21.4 010 9 1016.0 2.1 24.0 ZCBU5


03/06 ZCBU5 22.3 -87.2 20.0 20.0 010 20 1017.0 0.0 26.0 ZCBU5
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#52 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:03 pm

Newest image

Image
Last edited by drezee on Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#53 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:18 pm

Think this little swirl will make it to 20 pages??? LOL

Winds.....

Image
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#54 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:31 pm

god I wish it would become a td. Not likely! 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#55 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:34 pm

NE 20kts now as the ship continues to head West

ZCBU5 S 1800 25.60 -90.40 242 264 50 20.0 - 3.3 3.0 - - 30.06 +0.00 77.0 78.8 68.7 6.2 6 -
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#56 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:36 pm

Go ship go!!!
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#57 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:36 pm

The Shear is at over 40 knots with very dry air. Not likely to develop.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#58 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:10 pm

Yeah it's not likely to develop, but there sure have been a lot of strange things happening in the tropics the last few years. Watching it on satellite, it's kind of foreboding after the season we had last year.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#59 Postby Swimdude » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:16 pm

Shear is tremendous. :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
zoeyann
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 610
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 9:27 am
Location: Houma, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact zoeyann

#60 Postby zoeyann » Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:01 pm

Only the first week in March too. If this is an indication of 2006, I am going to need lots of advil
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: StPeteMike and 62 guests