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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#41 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:41 am

I would like to see some convection forming near that center. Plus the water is still way to cold to the north.
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tailgater
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#42 Postby tailgater » Fri Mar 03, 2006 10:03 am

IT'S just a UPPER level low people. Look at the water vapor loop, as Luis has shown already.
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#43 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Mar 03, 2006 10:25 am

Image
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#44 Postby no advance » Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:55 am

Very impressive for the beginning of March.
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#45 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:00 pm

Looks like some light moisture is heading for Florida...
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#46 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:35 pm

FROM NHC Discussion:


A MID-UPPER
LEVEL LOW JUST NE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 22N87W IS
PRODUCING BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS
BETWEEN 83W-89W FROM 18N-26N. THIS FEATURE HAS A SURFACE
REFLECTION AS A TROUGH FROM 20N87W TO 26N84W...HOWEVER...AS OF
LATE THIS MORNING IT HAS MORE CURVATURE TO ITS STRUCTURE AND MAY
BE CLOSING OFF AS A SURFACE LOW IF THIS KEEPS UP. GLOBAL MODELS
DO NOT HAVE IT VERY WELL INITIALIZED AND THEREFORE ARE NOT
FORECASTING ANY
DEVELOPMENT.
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#47 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:44 pm

You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)
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#48 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:45 pm

skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1157.shtml?
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#49 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:47 pm

drezee wrote:
skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC


LOL...I was just kidding drezee. :D
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#50 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:48 pm

As you know at this thread I haved been saying about nothing comming from this as I was very spectical.But I am not surprised anymore as we haved seen the 2005 season.Anything is possible,and when in the past I haved said that in March.
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drezee
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#51 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:48 pm

skysummit wrote:
drezee wrote:
skysummit wrote:You've got to be kidding me. At first I was laughing at everyone making a big deal out of it.....now it's really impressive that the NHC says it me be closing off....that's "if" it's a real NHC Discussion :)


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC


LOL...I was just kidding drezee. :D


:lol: :lol:

Interesting enough...
Only ship through the area has reported N winds twice. Another report should come next hour...

03/12 ZCBU5 24.0 -88.8 22.5 21.4 010 9 1016.0 2.1 24.0 ZCBU5


03/06 ZCBU5 22.3 -87.2 20.0 20.0 010 20 1017.0 0.0 26.0 ZCBU5
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drezee
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#52 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:03 pm

Newest image

Image
Last edited by drezee on Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#53 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:18 pm

Think this little swirl will make it to 20 pages??? LOL

Winds.....

Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#54 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:31 pm

god I wish it would become a td. Not likely! 8-)
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#55 Postby drezee » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:34 pm

NE 20kts now as the ship continues to head West

ZCBU5 S 1800 25.60 -90.40 242 264 50 20.0 - 3.3 3.0 - - 30.06 +0.00 77.0 78.8 68.7 6.2 6 -
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#56 Postby skysummit » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:36 pm

Go ship go!!!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#57 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:36 pm

The Shear is at over 40 knots with very dry air. Not likely to develop.
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#58 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:10 pm

Yeah it's not likely to develop, but there sure have been a lot of strange things happening in the tropics the last few years. Watching it on satellite, it's kind of foreboding after the season we had last year.
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#59 Postby Swimdude » Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:16 pm

Shear is tremendous. :lol:
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#60 Postby zoeyann » Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:01 pm

Only the first week in March too. If this is an indication of 2006, I am going to need lots of advil
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