2004 and 2005 El Nino, La Nina or Neutral?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

2004 and 2005 El Nino, La Nina or Neutral?

#1 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 07, 2006 1:50 pm

Just a quick question if someone can confirm... I am doing some research I will be posting at a later time but, I need to know if 2004 and 2005 was el nino, la nina or neutral?

Thanks in advance
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 07, 2006 1:52 pm

the reason I'm asking is 2004 had 5 straight three month abover normal temps.

June July August/July August September/August September November/... so on and so forth

JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ
0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8


not sure how much above or below normal to classify it as an anomaly?
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#3 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 07, 2006 2:55 pm

anyone?
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

#4 Postby hurricanetrack » Tue Mar 07, 2006 4:08 pm

People are all caught up in March Madness right now. No one has the answer- wait until after Duke wins the NCAA and then someone will surface with the answer.

:-)
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#5 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 07, 2006 4:11 pm

hurricanetrack wrote:People are all caught up in March Madness right now. No one has the answer- wait until after Duke wins the NCAA and then someone will surface with the answer.

:-)


lol
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#6 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Mar 07, 2006 4:58 pm

[img]While I believe that La Nina has formed and will diminish by late May 9 (it is actually diminishing now), I believe we will see neutral conditions. Last year we saw neutral conditions and look what happened. However, we will not see as many canes as last year, I do believe this year will contain "whoppers." The environment is changing, climo is changing, and all these variables come to play to make a deadly mix. I believe we will see a 16/8/6 season. I will also predict that TPA will see a major heading their way (times up). I will also say that the east coast will finally see its share of canes. The Bermuda High will be in place for this to occur ( meaning the BH will be more towards the eastern Atlantic about 250-500 miles offshore from Florida.) This will allow the canes to spin up towards the east a la Bertha in 2003. this is what i think might happen...[/img]
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#7 Postby boca » Wed Mar 08, 2006 10:16 am

I think the conditions were nuetral in 2004 and 05.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#8 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:00 am

I think 2004 was a neutral to weak El Nino year, while 2005 was closer to neutral.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#9 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:17 pm

thanks capeverde and boca I was talking to someone last night and they confirmed in 2004 we neutral till october then it was slight el nino. I'm sure not all the data on ENSO is out on 2005 so I won't include it in the report.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Heretoserve, wwizard and 70 guests