SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Glenda

[HURAKAN]

GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED!

[P.K.]

Nothing to see here.....

[HURAKAN]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1913UTC 26 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal seven degrees East [124.7E]
Recent movement : West at 4 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 996hPa.

[b]The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 hours.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March and
60 knots by 1800UTC 27 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0900UTC 27 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March with
very rough seas and moderate increasing swell.


At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.7 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.6 East
Central pressure 970hPa.
Winds to 60 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0100UTC 27 March 2006 [corrected]

WEATHER PERTH[/b]

[HURAKAN]

IN A FW HOURS WE WOULD KNOW WHICH SYSTEM BECOMES GLENDA AND WHICH BECOMES HUBERT. I WOULD SAY THAT THE SYSTEM CLOSE TO AUSTRALIA WILL BECOME GLENDA AND THE SYSTEM NEXT THE COCOS ISLANDS WILL BECOME HUBERT. NEVERTHELESS, LET SEE WHAT HAPPENS!

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 18
Issued at 5:55 am WST on Monday, 27 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for a developing tropical low for coastal and
island areas between Mitchell Plateau and Coulomb Point, not including Derby.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Bidyadanga, including Broome and Derby.

At 5am WST a tropical low was estimated to be
140 kilometres west southwest of Mitchell Plateau
260 kilometres north northeast of Derby and
400 kilometres northeast of Broome
and was moving west at 8 kilometres per hour.

The low is expected to move further away from the coast and deepen into a
tropical cyclone this morning. Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are
expected to develop on the coast between Mitchell Plateau and Coulomb Point
during this morning. If the system takes a more southwesterly track, then gales
may extend south to Derby and Broome on Tuesday.

Tides will be higher than expected between Mitchell Plateau and Cape Leveque.

Widespread heavy rain is expected though the western Kimberley today. Refer to
current flood warnings for more information.

Details of the tropical low at 5am WST Monday.

Location of centre : within 40 kilometres of
Latitude 15.1 South Longitude 124.5 East.
Recent movement : West at 8 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 995 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 80 kilometres per hour.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities of Mitchell Plateau, Kuri Bay, One
Arm Point and Cape Leveque should commence taking precautions.

The next warning will be issued at 9am WST Monday.Cyclone advices and State
Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210


A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DROP, 995 MB NOW.

[HURAKAN]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0034UTC 27 MARCH 2006

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal three degrees East [124.3E]
Recent movement : West at 4 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 994hPa.

The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12
hours.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 1200UTC 27 March with
very rough seas and moderate increasing swell.


At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 988hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006

WEATHER PERTH

PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DECREASE, NOW 994 MB. WINDS STAY THE SAME, 30 KNOTS.

[HURAKAN]

WTXS31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/262121Z MAR 06//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 124.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 124.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.3S 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.9S 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.3S 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.7S 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.7S 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.0S 124.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 270002Z SSMI
PASS CLEARLY DEPICTS AN ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) OVER WATER, AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO ENCIRCLE THE LLCC. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A BUILDING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. TC 20s
WILL INTENSIFY STEADILY DUE TO HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 262121Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 262130 ). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.




THE UNOFFICIAL HAS SPOKEN FIRST, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S IS HERE!

[MiamiensisWx]

WHEN IT COMES TO THE TROPICS, EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED - EVEN ON WHO SPEAKS FIRST IN FORECASTING!

[Weatherfreak000]

Yeah that looks like a legitimate TC to me

[MiamiensisWx]

LOOK AT OUR NEW BABY GIRL! AWWW, ISN'T SHE PURTY? SHE IS, BUT SHE ESPECIALLY WILL BE "PURTY" IF SHE AVOIDS LAND!

[I'm Watching You]

SITUATION
At 0300UTC Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal zero degrees South [15.0S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal nine degrees East [123.9E]
Recent movement : West at 5 knots.
Maximum winds : 35 knots.
Central pressure : 990hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of
the centre by 0300UTC 28 March.


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of the
centre by 0300UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.


At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 986hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
This warning updated to indicate the system has reached cyclone intensity.
Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006


I christianed you GLENDA

[Weatherfreak000]

Well, it's official now.

[I'm Watching You]

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 21
Issued at 2:45 pm WST on Monday, 27 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for a CATEGORY 2 CYCLONE for coastal and island
areas between Mitchell Plateau and Bidyadanga. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to
Whim Creek.

At 2pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA was estimated to be
145 kilometres north northeast of Cape Leveque and
235 kilometres north of Derby
and was moving west at 14 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal parts between
Mitchell Plateau and Cape Leveque later today, extending south to Bidyadanga
early Tuesday.

Tides will be higher than expected between Mitchell Plateau and Cape Leveque.

Widespread heavy rain is expected through the western Kimberley today. Refer to
current flood warnings for more information.

Details of the TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA at 2pm WST Monday.

Location of centre : within 40 kilometres of
Latitude 15.2 South Longitude 123.5 East.
Recent movement : West at 14 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 980 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 130 kilometres per hour.


This Cyclone is exploding Probaby be a Catergory 5 in less than 24 hours

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yeah might be a cyclone Fay or cyclone Ingrid!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Don't worry its only bombing because other cyclones won't do it...j/k!

IDW23200
40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00
PANPAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0654UTC 27 MARCH 2006

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal two degrees South [15.2S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal five degrees East [123.5E]
Recent movement : West at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 50 knots.
Central pressure : 980hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 45 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 65 nautical miles of
the centre by 0600UTC 28 March.


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre to 50 knots, increasing to 70 knots by 0600UTC
28 March.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 25nm of centre by
0600UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate
increasing swell.
Within 45 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 65 nautical miles of the
centre by 0600UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.


At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 970hPa.
Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.8 South 120.9 East
Central pressure 962hPa.
Winds to 70 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300UTC 27 March 2006

WEATHER PERTH

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

WTXS31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 123.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 123.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1S 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.0S 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.7S 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 18.3S 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 123.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ENHANCED MULTI-
SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM LAND. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z AND 280900Z.//

NNNN

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 22
Issued at 5:55 pm WST on Monday, 27 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for a CATEGORY 2 CYCLONE for coastal and island
areas between Mitchell Plateau and Bidyadanga. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to
Whim Creek.

At 5pm WST TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA was estimated to be
125 kilometres north northeast of Cape Leveque and
225 kilometres north northwest of Derby
and was moving west southwest at 13 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal parts between
Mitchell Plateau and Cape Leveque tonight, extending south to Bidyadanga during
Tuesday.

Tides will be higher than expected between Mitchell Plateau and Cape Leveque.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected through the Kimberley with heavy falls
possible in western coastal parts. Refer to current flood warnings for more
information.

Details of the TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA at 5pm WST Monday.
Location of centre : within 40 kilometres of
Latitude 15.3 South Longitude 123.2 East.
Recent movement : West southwest at 13 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 980 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 130 kilometres per hour.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities of Mitchell Plateau, Kuri Bay, One
Arm Point, Beagle Bay, Lombadina, Djarindjin and Broome should commence taking
precautions.

The next warning will be issued at 9pm WST Monday

[I'm Watching You]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 23
Issued at 9:05 pm WST on Monday, 27 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for a CATEGORY 3 CYCLONE for coastal and island
areas between Kuri Bay and Bidyadanga. A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to Whim
Creek.
The CYCLONE WARNING between Mitchell Plateau and Kuri Bay has been cancelled.

At 8pm WST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA was estimated to be
110 kilometres north of Cape Leveque and
220 kilometres north northwest of Derby
and was moving west southwest at 10 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal parts between
Kuri Bay and Cape Leveque overnight, possibly extending south to Bidyadanga
during Tuesday.

Tides will be higher than expected between Kuri Bay and Cape Leveque.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected through the Kimberley with heavy falls
possible in western coastal parts. Refer to current flood warnings for more
information.

Details of the TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA at 8pm WST Monday.
Location of centre : within 40 kilometres of
Latitude 15.4 South Longitude 123.0 East.
Recent movement : West southwest at 10 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 970 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 175 kilometres per hour.

From a Tropical Low to a Severe Cyclone in just about 12 hours. Will it do a Wilma.

[P.K.]

Forecast to be down to 940hPa in 24 hours.

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1301UTC 27 MARCH 2006

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal four degrees South [15.4S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal zero degrees East [123.0E]
Recent movement : West southwest at 5 knots.
Maximum winds : 65 knots.
Central pressure : 970hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of
the centre by 1200UTC 28 March.


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre to 65 knots, increasing to 90 knots by 1200UTC
28 March.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 25nm of centre by
0600UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate
increasing swell.
Within 50 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the
centre by 1200UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.


At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 15.8 South 121.7 East
Central pressure 950hPa.
Winds to 80 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.7 South 120.5 East
Central pressure 940hPa.
Winds to 90 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900UTC 27 March 2006

WEATHER PERTH