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Bay of Bengal: VSCS Mala - Possible catastrophe for Myanmar
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HURAKAN
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Effect of the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake on Myanmar
Official reports from the government of Myanmar (Burma) cite a death toll of 56 due to the tsunami caused by the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake on 26 December 2004. Independent media reports 90 people killed, with estimates extending to 600.
Although loss of life and property in Myanmar is suspected to be higher than official reports suggest, loss of life is not as high as in neighbouring Thailand due to various factors, most significantly the numerous islands off the coast of Myanmar which served to dissipate the force of the tsunami, a rocky shoreline, and the position of the coastline.
A Yangon-based representative from the United Nations states, "Conjecture fuelled by the experiences in neighbouring countries created a major and dangerous disconnect with reality." This assessment has also been corroborated by satellite photographs according to Colin Powell.
Also contributing to Myanmar's apparent lack of devastation is the fact that it is less developed than neighboring Thailand; international disapproval of the Burmese military regime has prevented the country from building a successful tourism industry.
30,000 citizens of Myanmar are estimated to be in need of shelter, food and water, 788 buildings have been reported damaged and destroyed.
An NGO estimates 2,500 citizens of Myanmar based in Phang Nga, Thailand during the event have been killed, and 7,000 Burmese are still unaccounted for. Many of these missing are, however, not presumed to be dead. Many refugees have fled to Thailand's interior after the destruction, or have been deported or chased back into the hills that divide the countries by Thai authorities.
Myanmar does not allow journalists into the country and maintains a strong hold on information disseminated in its state-run newspapers. This policy has created a difficult environment to gauge the lives affect by the tsunami.
LETS ALSO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THAT MYANMAR WAS AFFECTED BY THE 2004 TSUNAMI THAT DEVASTATED THIS PART OF THE WORLD.
This information was provided by Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impact_of_ ... on_Myanmar
Official reports from the government of Myanmar (Burma) cite a death toll of 56 due to the tsunami caused by the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake on 26 December 2004. Independent media reports 90 people killed, with estimates extending to 600.
Although loss of life and property in Myanmar is suspected to be higher than official reports suggest, loss of life is not as high as in neighbouring Thailand due to various factors, most significantly the numerous islands off the coast of Myanmar which served to dissipate the force of the tsunami, a rocky shoreline, and the position of the coastline.
A Yangon-based representative from the United Nations states, "Conjecture fuelled by the experiences in neighbouring countries created a major and dangerous disconnect with reality." This assessment has also been corroborated by satellite photographs according to Colin Powell.
Also contributing to Myanmar's apparent lack of devastation is the fact that it is less developed than neighboring Thailand; international disapproval of the Burmese military regime has prevented the country from building a successful tourism industry.
30,000 citizens of Myanmar are estimated to be in need of shelter, food and water, 788 buildings have been reported damaged and destroyed.
An NGO estimates 2,500 citizens of Myanmar based in Phang Nga, Thailand during the event have been killed, and 7,000 Burmese are still unaccounted for. Many of these missing are, however, not presumed to be dead. Many refugees have fled to Thailand's interior after the destruction, or have been deported or chased back into the hills that divide the countries by Thai authorities.
Myanmar does not allow journalists into the country and maintains a strong hold on information disseminated in its state-run newspapers. This policy has created a difficult environment to gauge the lives affect by the tsunami.
LETS ALSO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THAT MYANMAR WAS AFFECTED BY THE 2004 TSUNAMI THAT DEVASTATED THIS PART OF THE WORLD.
This information was provided by Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impact_of_ ... on_Myanmar
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HURAKAN
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No. BOB/1/2006/ 23 Dated 28th April 2006
Subject: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over east-central and adjoining
southeast Bay of Bengal
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “MALA” over east-central and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwards and lay centered at 0230 hrs. IST near Lat.13.50 N and Long. 90.50 E, about 300 km northwest of Port Blair. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a north-northeasterly direction.
The numerical models as well as synoptic patterns continue to suggest that the system may intensify further and track in a north-northeasterly direction towards Arakan coast with a possible landfall on 30th April.
Under its influence, scattered heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely over Andaman Islands during next 24 hours. Gale force winds reaching 100-120 kmph also likely over Andaman Islands during the same period.
State of the sea will be very high to phenomenal along and off Andaman coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea during the same period.
Damage Expected :
Extensive damage to Kutcha houses. Minor damage to power and communication lines due to uprooting of large avenue trees.
Action Suggested :
Total suspension of fishing operations. Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places. People in affected areas to remain indoors.
Subject: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over east-central and adjoining
southeast Bay of Bengal
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “MALA” over east-central and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwards and lay centered at 0230 hrs. IST near Lat.13.50 N and Long. 90.50 E, about 300 km northwest of Port Blair. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a north-northeasterly direction.
The numerical models as well as synoptic patterns continue to suggest that the system may intensify further and track in a north-northeasterly direction towards Arakan coast with a possible landfall on 30th April.
Under its influence, scattered heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely over Andaman Islands during next 24 hours. Gale force winds reaching 100-120 kmph also likely over Andaman Islands during the same period.
State of the sea will be very high to phenomenal along and off Andaman coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea during the same period.
Damage Expected :
Extensive damage to Kutcha houses. Minor damage to power and communication lines due to uprooting of large avenue trees.
Action Suggested :
Total suspension of fishing operations. Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places. People in affected areas to remain indoors.
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wxmann_91
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Although loss of life and property in Myanmar is suspected to be higher than official reports suggest, loss of life is not as high as in neighbouring Thailand due to various factors, most significantly the numerous islands off the coast of Myanmar which served to dissipate the force of the tsunami, a rocky shoreline, and the position of the coastline.
The same things that moderated the tsunami will hopefully also moderate the surge. Also with it moving so fast rain should not be a problem. Let's hope that is the case.
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HurricaneHunter914
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HurricaneBill
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wxmann_91 wrote:
The same things that moderated the tsunami will hopefully also moderate the surge. Also with it moving so fast rain should not be a problem. Let's hope that is the case.
I don't know. Bangladesh lucked out with the tsunami, but we all know Bangladesh's hstory with storm surge.
Then again, this isn't Bangladesh we are talking about.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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HurricaneBill
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HurricaneHunter914
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wxmann_91
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HurricaneBill wrote:wxmann_91 wrote:
The same things that moderated the tsunami will hopefully also moderate the surge. Also with it moving so fast rain should not be a problem. Let's hope that is the case.
I don't know. Bangladesh lucked out with the tsunami, but we all know Bangladesh's hstory with storm surge.
Then again, this isn't Bangladesh we are talking about.
The tsunami propogated mainly east and west so Bangladesh was too far north to feel the effects. Myanmar was directly east of it.
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