NO ENSO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED AND NEAR-NEUTRAL ENSO CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGH MAY.
Hmm... if it switches over to neutral, it may be neutral/coolish. Do they expect something different after May? Just curious.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
CapeVerdeWave wrote:I disagree a bit with the BoM. To me, current conditions are not quite neutral. Atmospheric patterns (such as increasingly prevelant Great Plains ridging) are emerging that are more characteristic of La Nina conditions. This, along with cooler eastern Pacific SST anomalies now than a few weeks before, truly suggest we still have weak to moderate La Nina conditions. Any thoughts?
Aquawind wrote:THESE OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC FEATURES ARE ALL CONSISTENT WITH RAPIDLY WEAKENING LA NINA CONDITIONS.
We will see how far they warm but they seem to think Nina is rapidly weakening according the the current facts versus a forecast of no likely ENSO impacts..
CapeVerdeWave wrote:Latest SST anomalies show little sign of much of a Kelvin Wave progressing eastward. Also, waters around Alaska and the Pacific Northwest remain rather typical of La Nina to neutral/coolish conditions.
Users browsing this forum: SconnieCane and 32 guests