GOM is very active right now......

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stormtruth
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#41 Postby stormtruth » Mon May 15, 2006 5:10 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:I'm assuming Cycloneye that you are bored?


Well not really very bored but amazed about how a handfull of persons think this mess will develop into a storm.


Yeah, like some people at the NWS New Orleans...

I personally give it a 40% chance of developing.


Yeah, those uneducated morons at NWS New Orleans :roll:
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CHRISTY

#42 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 5:10 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:I'm assuming Cycloneye that you are bored?


Well not really very bored but amazed about how a handfull of persons think this mess will develop into a storm.


The GFS is developing low pressure in the gulf of mexico...look at a satellite image of the gulf.Of course its not tropical in nature!But my point is it will bring an end to drought conditions before all is said and done.
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Opal storm

#43 Postby Opal storm » Mon May 15, 2006 5:12 pm

:lol:

Wow...you guys need to calm down...this is not going to develop.
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Damar91
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#44 Postby Damar91 » Mon May 15, 2006 5:12 pm

I think it's going to take more than that to end our drought conditions, but if it hold it sure will help!
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Derek Ortt

#45 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon May 15, 2006 5:14 pm

guys... its a cold front

any development would be very slow. Lets be patient
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#46 Postby x-y-no » Mon May 15, 2006 5:15 pm

CHRISTY wrote:The GFS is developing LOW PRESSURE in the GULF OF MEXICO and moves it across SOUTHFLORIDA!I think this will occur... :eek: :eek: :eek:



That's what the NWS discussion above was talking about when it said:

GFS CONTINUES
TO PRODUCE SOME ODD FEATURES ACROSS THE AREA IN THE SHORTER
TERM...UNDOUBTEDLY DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. NAM PRODUCING
BETTER GUIDANCE.


I don't believe the GFS guidance in this case.
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whereverwx
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#47 Postby whereverwx » Mon May 15, 2006 5:20 pm

It's a very nice system. I wish it were coming to me. I could imagine there are some nice showers in it. :wink:

Image Image

Image Image
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CHRISTY

#48 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 5:22 pm

x-y-no wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:The GFS is developing LOW PRESSURE in the GULF OF MEXICO and moves it across SOUTHFLORIDA!I think this will occur... :eek: :eek: :eek:



That's what the NWS discussion above was talking about when it said:

GFS CONTINUES
TO PRODUCE SOME ODD FEATURES ACROSS THE AREA IN THE SHORTER
TERM...UNDOUBTEDLY DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. NAM PRODUCING
BETTER GUIDANCE.


I don't believe the GFS guidance in this case.


yea X-Y-N0 if low pressure does develope which i think its trying to do...IT WILL NOT BE TROPICAL IN NATURE!Much needed rain though. :wink:
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Damar91
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#49 Postby Damar91 » Mon May 15, 2006 5:31 pm

Not saying this will develop into anything, but the convection near the "middle" of this thing seems to be getting stronger. If shear was lower, we might have a real problem.
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TSmith274
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#50 Postby TSmith274 » Mon May 15, 2006 5:34 pm

Hah they just mentioned it on two local New Orleans weathercasts. Both mets treated it with skepticism. But, if anything, straight to Florida. Don't shoot the messenger.
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Extremeweatherguy
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#51 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon May 15, 2006 5:38 pm

Even if it did develop it would be extremely weak. We still have a little while to go before having to worry about anything truly damaging.
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#52 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 15, 2006 5:39 pm

Good news for the Florida Penninsula as parts of that area has been with a drought so this will help aliviate that.However more systems like this one will be needed to terminate that drought situation.
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Damar91
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#53 Postby Damar91 » Mon May 15, 2006 5:40 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Even if it did develop it would be extremely weak. We still have a little while to go before having to worry about anything truly damaging.


You know that's a good point, but with so many roofs and such still not done from Wilma, it wouldn't take much to create a problem in central/south Florida.
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CHRISTY

#54 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 5:54 pm

Here are 2 loops...just hit refresh once in a while!

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Mon May 15, 2006 6:00 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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tgenius
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#55 Postby tgenius » Mon May 15, 2006 5:56 pm

While it may not devlop, it sure looks like it will bring some rain to South FL.. .if not the first cell, the second cell (assuming it stays together of course.)
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#56 Postby HurricaneGirl » Mon May 15, 2006 5:59 pm

Holy Crap! That's a big Blob!
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CrazyC83
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#57 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon May 15, 2006 6:00 pm

I can't tell if it has a closed circulation...the Infrared seems to suggest it does somewhat, the radar doesn't...
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jrod
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#58 Postby jrod » Mon May 15, 2006 6:01 pm

I drove through some hail in the Miami/Ft Lauderdale that was spawn ahead of this front/possible developing low. Anyone in Florida will tell you we really need the rain.

I hope the system gets here early tommorow so it limits the heating and the potential for nasty storms. The rain will be very nice, the potential for severe storms is not.
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feederband
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#59 Postby feederband » Mon May 15, 2006 6:02 pm

Thats one blob I hope landfalls in my area... :P
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#60 Postby HurricaneGirl » Mon May 15, 2006 6:02 pm

Hialeah, FL has had over 4" of rain today.
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