Closed low forming east of Port Mansfield Thread #2

CHRISTY · #101 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:16 am

this will move inland in a couple of hours....

#102 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:17 am

This is from Jeff, a pro met here in Houston:

“Quasi tropical” low located about 50 miles SSW of Port O Conner, TX based from 850mb up to 250mb is supplying copious moisture into the region. Surface pressures have fallen slightly this morning and winds along the middle and lower TX coast suggest a weak low has formed near at the surface. This feature is moving little if at all but is expected to progress very slowly toward the NW to WNW over the next 48 hours.

Extended:

The low along with the deepest tropical moisture should begin to shift westward into S and C TX by Friday with a gradual reduction in rain chances going into the weekend.

HouTXmetro · #103 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:17 am

Slightly Off topic, The Bayou just 2 blocks away from home was filling up. The rain let up slightly but radar indicates more heavy rain pushing in from the GOM.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

#104 Postby **skysummit** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:17 am

CHRISTY wrote:this will move inland in a couple of hours....

You think??? In a couple hours??? Dunno about that. The radar does show a slight northward drift, but it's very slow.

StormScanWx · #105 Postby **StormScanWx** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:22 am

skysummit wrote:KCRP is showing counter clockwise rotation in the area I circled.

Hey skysummit,

This is skywatcher from the GRS Owners Forum, have you got AH Lightning? There is A LOT of it over this area.

#106 Postby **skysummit** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:23 am

Yes I have it StormScanWx. I haven't looked at it yet though...lemme check :cheesy:

Thunder44 · #107 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:25 am

StormScanWx wrote:
skysummit wrote:KCRP is showing counter clockwise rotation in the area I circled.

Probably just a MCV

Thunder44 · #108 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:26 am

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:There's no surface low or LLC forming there at all. Buoys all show E or SE winds through that area and pressure are fairly high around 1012 to 1014 mbs and rising.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42046

There could be some low west winds in another small portion around the possible low center or elsewhere.

By the way, even if the current LLC may be over land, in situations like this, the original center can easily dissipate and a new center may form.

If there is a LLC or surface low it's probably very close to coast or just inland already.

#109 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:28 am

Could this be an "unnamed (sub)tropical storm"?

#110 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:28 am

Thunder44 wrote:
CapeVerdeWave wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:There's no surface low or LLC forming there at all. Buoys all show E or SE winds through that area and pressure are fairly high around 1012 to 1014 mbs and rising.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42046

There could be some low west winds in another small portion around the possible low center or elsewhere.

By the way, even if the current LLC may be over land, in situations like this, the original center can easily dissipate and a new center may form.

If there is a LLC or surface low it's probably very close to coast or just inland already.

Are you like anti-tropical? :lol:

#111 Postby **Steve** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:36 am

Good little blowup over water with the redevelopment of thunderstorms. Looks like SE Texas could be in for some massive rain later today (not like you need any more this week).

Steve

hurricanefloyd5 · #112 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:41 am

omg!!!! another allison type system except it's not tropical in any way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

#113 Postby **skysummit** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:46 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:omg!!!! another allison type system except it's not tropical in any way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Isn't it in the gulf? Well, that's one way it's tropical.

#114 Postby **drezee** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:49 am

WInds are showing a LLC even on the coast:

http://www.weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_se.gif

Epsilon_Fan · #115 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:53 am

very interesting

Thunder44 · #116 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed May 31, 2006 11:53 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
CapeVerdeWave wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:There's no surface low or LLC forming there at all. Buoys all show E or SE winds through that area and pressure are fairly high around 1012 to 1014 mbs and rising.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42046

There could be some low west winds in another small portion around the possible low center or elsewhere.

By the way, even if the current LLC may be over land, in situations like this, the original center can easily dissipate and a new center may form.

If there is a LLC or surface low it's probably very close to coast or just inland already.

Are you like anti-tropical?

No just trying to be realstic. :wink:

CHRISTY · #117 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed May 31, 2006 12:09 pm

Actually guys right now the PACIFIC has the best chance for tropical development.There is about 4 percent right now near the BAY OF CAMPECHE which i will say has increased a bit in the past couple of days.

Here is the map...

#118 Postby **skysummit** » Wed May 31, 2006 12:11 pm

Here are the latest 16Z plots showing the weak LLC just off the coast of Texas.

hurricanefloyd5 · #119 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Wed May 31, 2006 12:34 pm

any more thoughts from anyone else on this low??????????

Thunder44 · #120 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed May 31, 2006 12:37 pm

I'm seeing it now. A very weak broad surface low just off or around of Corpus Christe Bay.

Here's radar.:

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kcrp.shtml

Closed low forming east of Port Mansfield Thread #2

Who is online