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LaPlaceFF wrote:I see pressures of 992 to 996. What type of TC does that consist of? TD or TS?
x-y-no wrote:Please look at the upper-air pattern. There's no way a tropical cyclone forms in that environment.
wxman57 wrote:The presence of a sharp upper-level trof across the central Gulf this weekend into next week combined with strong west and northwest flow aloft means that tropical cyclone development moving into the Gulf is not very likely. The Canadian model is NOT a tropical model, nor is the NAM. I would tend to discard it.
ericinmia wrote:wxman57 wrote:The presence of a sharp upper-level trof across the central Gulf this weekend into next week combined with strong west and northwest flow aloft means that tropical cyclone development moving into the Gulf is not very likely. The Canadian model is NOT a tropical model, nor is the NAM. I would tend to discard it.
what about the WRF and the MM5 and the NOGAPS?
rockyman wrote:Here's the total track of the 00z CMC:
Scorpion wrote:What models are good? It seems like the only good globals are the UKMET and GFS.
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