Tropical Storm Alberto

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mobal
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#981 Postby mobal » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:28 pm

James, If it has landfall west, all the weather will still be east of it...
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#982 Postby Opal storm » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:30 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:if it doesn't start moving east soon then I don't think it will be a florida landfall!
It will turn.It already looks stationary to me,could be a sign this is getting ready to turn NE, IMO.
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#983 Postby rockyman » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:30 pm

Frank P wrote:
MGC wrote:Does Alberto's circulation appears to be becoming elongated SW-NE? If so, this is a sure sign that the LLC is starting to dissipate. Anyone else notice this?...MGC


I posted this at 6:21

From what I have seen on the GOES vis loop the overall system is not moving much if at all... the broad low does see to be elongated SW to NE somewhat... the shear is still pounding the stew out of it, which gives the illusion of a NE motion with the tops of the storms being sheared off to the NE... also one on the mini vortex was also moving to the NE... but as far as I can tell the main circulation of the system is not moving much, or at least is have not beening moving much during the past hour or so


I posted this at 3:59 :)

I'm thinking we now have 2 centers elongated SW to NE...the NE center is still generating convection...which could lower pressures further and allow the centers to meet somewhere in the middle, much closer to the main convection. (this is all based on visible imagery, btw...not surface observations)
Last edited by rockyman on Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#984 Postby tailgater » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:31 pm

the GFDL model has alberto at 43kts at landfall.
I want some of they are feeding that GFDL( or maybe not), 109 knts as it reaches the the Delmarva.
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#985 Postby lester » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:33 pm

tailgater wrote:the GFDL model has alberto at 43kts at landfall.
I want some of they are feeding that GFDL( or maybe not), 109 knts as it reaches the the Delmarva.

that would be bad news for me
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#986 Postby mobal » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:34 pm

Rockyman, Are you in the DI pines or West End?
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#987 Postby rockyman » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:37 pm

mobal wrote:Rockyman, Are you in the DI pines or West End?


We're in Audubon Place right now (East End beach side)...but we should be back in our house on the "near West End" in a few weeks. I'm sitting on the deck watching the waves pick up as we speak...It's a gorgeous evening and I expect a spectactular sunset tonight :)
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#988 Postby Stephanie » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:40 pm

tailgater wrote:the GFDL model has alberto at 43kts at landfall.
I want some of they are feeding that GFDL( or maybe not), 109 knts as it reaches the the Delmarva.


Are you SERIOUS?!?!?!? There goes the casinos in AC!!! :eek:
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#989 Postby mobal » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:42 pm

rockyman wrote:
mobal wrote:Rockyman, Are you in the DI pines or West End?


We're in Audubon Place right now (East End beach side)...but we should be back in our house on the "near West End" in a few weeks. I'm sitting on the deck watching the waves pick up as we speak...It's a gorgeous evening and I expect a spectactular sunset tonight :)
Just sold my lot off of Cad Square....Made great profit!
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#990 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:48 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:
there is no really discernable LLC


you can almost remove "Really" from that sentence
you know that recon did issue a vortex not to long ago and if there wasnt a discernable LLC then they wouldnt of issued one...
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CHRISTY

#991 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:49 pm

Guys i just want to show the water vapor imagery so can see the (DRY) air killing alberto.its completely engulfed the center of ciculation.

Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#992 Postby skysummit » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:51 pm

Yea Christy...it's so dry out there, I just heard a report from offshore oil rigs they they're noticing numerous cactus plants growing around the central and western gulf. :cheesy:
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#993 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:51 pm

Use the one on the RAMDIS site...

Much better...
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#994 Postby lester » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:53 pm

CHRISTY wrote:Guys i just want to show the water vapor imagery so can see the (DRY) air killing alberto.its completely engulfed the center of ciculation.

Image

that's a lot of dry air...
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#995 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:55 pm

i just changed the pic take a look now at the entire gulf. DRY DRY DRY AIR
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#996 Postby skysummit » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:56 pm

That's DRY stuff!!! :lol:

Image
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#997 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:58 pm

I think I've heard about the dry air and shear in 70% of these posts, let's talk about something else other then how dry it is. BTW, remember last week when we talked about how the dry air was going to leave? What's going to happen within the next few days?
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#998 Postby curtadams » Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:59 pm

How can the GFDL do that? It's forecasting a TS to strengthen to a Cat 2 *over land*! Is something wrong with the model?
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CHRISTY

#999 Postby CHRISTY » Sun Jun 11, 2006 8:00 pm

:lol: :lol: :lol: that was funny skysummit....but maybe this is a better image....the dry air will soon choke alberto.if it hasn't already.

Image
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#1000 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 8:01 pm

It may actually be the storm's interaction with dry air that is creating more convection this evening.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Jun 11, 2006 8:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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