TS Alberto Recon Reports #2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Coredesat

#161 Postby Coredesat » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:07 pm

Could someone decode that dropsonde?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#162 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:09 pm

That was the craziest data set (coord-wise) that I've seen in a while.
For reference:

Code: Select all

SXXX50 KNHC 130154
AF307 0501A ALBERTO      HDOB 18 KNHC
0147  2844N 08417W 01523 5023 145 039 160 160 039 01535 0000000000
0147. 2846N 08418W 01526 5020 142 036 160 160 037 01540 0000000000
0148  2847N 08420W 01525 5020 139 035 158 158 036 01539 0000000000
0148. 2846N 08421W 01525 5022 131 034 152 152 035 01537 0000000000
0149  2845N 08422W 01522 5024 140 034 156 156 035 01532 0000000000
0149. 2844N 08421W 01525 5024 145 034 160 160 035 01535 0000000000
0150  2845N 08419W 01523 5023 143 037 158 158 038 01535 0000000000
0150. 2846N 08419W 01524 5020 140 038 160 160 039 01539 0000000000
0151  2848N 08420W 01525 5020 137 036 160 160 036 01540 0000000000
0151. 2848N 08422W 01524 5021 133 034 152 152 036 01538 0000000000
0152  2846N 08423W 01523 5023 132 033 154 154 035 01535 0000000000
0152. 2845N 08422W 01524 5024 140 032 160 160 033 01535 0000000000
0153  2846N 08421W 01524 5023 143 033 158 158 036 01536 0000000000
0153. 2847N 08420W 01523 5021 137 038 160 160 039 01537 0000000000
0154  2849N 08421W 01526 5019 135 039 160 160 040 01541 0000000000
0154. 2849N 08423W 01522 5020 132 035 148 148 036 01536 0000000000
0155  2848N 08424W 01527 5022 126 033 138 138 034 01540 0000000000
0155. 2847N 08424W 01522 5024 134 031 156 156 032 01533 0000000000
0156  2847N 08423W 01524 5023 140 030 160 160 031 01535 0000000000
0156. 2848N 08422W 01523 5021 136 035 160 160 038 01537 0000000000


Image

:?:

Do we need a new pilot? It's not even 40kt wind out there!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#163 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:10 pm

431
SXXX50 KNHC 130204
AF307 0501A ALBERTO HDOB 19 KNHC
0157 2850N 08422W 01526 5019 130 040 160 160 041 01542 0000000000
0157. 2851N 08424W 01522 5018 130 037 148 148 042 01539 0000000000
0158 2850N 08426W 01525 5020 125 033 138 138 035 01539 0000000000
0158. 2849N 08426W 01523 5024 126 031 146 146 034 01533 0000000000
0159 2847N 08426W 01524 5027 132 028 156 156 029 01531 0000000000
0159. 2846N 08427W 01524 5029 132 027 160 160 028 01529 0000000000
0200 2844N 08427W 01525 5031 129 024 162 162 024 01528 0000000000
0200. 2843N 08427W 01523 5033 137 027 162 162 028 01524 0000000000
0201 2841N 08427W 01524 5037 136 024 168 164 026 01521 0000000000
0201. 2840N 08427W 01524 5039 131 024 166 164 025 01520 0000000000
0202 2838N 08428W 01522 5042 125 023 164 164 023 01514 0000000000
0202. 2837N 08429W 01526 5044 127 023 168 162 024 01517 0000000000
0203 2836N 08430W 01523 5046 127 023 168 158 024 01511 0000000000
0203. 2835N 08432W 01523 5049 124 019 174 158 023 01508 0000000000
0204 2833N 08433W 01526 5051 123 016 176 160 016 01509 0000000000
0204. 2832N 08434W 01524 5052 127 015 176 166 016 01507 0000000000
0205 2831N 08435W 01524 5054 124 013 174 170 014 01504 0000000000
0205. 2830N 08437W 01523 5055 128 014 170 170 015 01502 0000000000
0206 2828N 08438W 01527 5056 119 013 166 166 014 01506 0000000000
0206. 2827N 08439W 01522 5058 099 010 166 166 012 01498 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146204
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#164 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:10 pm

Oh boy.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#165 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:12 pm

Back on track now . . . approaching center, probably next set.

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#166 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:16 pm

Recon site vortex data said it had dropped a bit to 996. Is that correct?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#167 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:18 pm

yes that is correct the last vortex message had a pressure of 996mb
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#168 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:19 pm

908
SXXX50 KNHC 130214
AF307 0501A ALBERTO HDOB 20 KNHC
0207 2825N 08440W 01526 5059 083 009 164 164 010 01501 0000000000
0207. 2824N 08440W 01522 5062 053 010 166 166 011 01495 0000000000
0208 2822N 08441W 01524 5063 035 007 166 166 009 01496 0000000000
0208. 2820N 08441W 01523 5064 006 007 166 166 008 01494 0000000000
0209 2819N 08441W 01525 5064 002 011 168 168 012 01495 0000000000
0209. 2818N 08442W 01523 5066 006 015 170 168 016 01492 0000000000
0210 2816N 08444W 01524 5065 360 017 170 170 018 01493 0000000000
0210. 2815N 08445W 01523 5064 355 017 170 166 018 01494 0000000000
0211 2814N 08446W 01525 5063 352 020 174 164 020 01497 0000000000
0211. 2813N 08448W 01524 5061 350 021 172 168 022 01497 0000000000
0212 2811N 08449W 01524 5060 354 022 176 160 024 01499 0000000000
0212. 2810N 08451W 01523 5057 348 024 180 152 024 01501 0000000000
0213 2809N 08452W 01524 5055 345 025 182 150 026 01503 0000000000
0213. 2808N 08453W 01525 5053 341 026 184 148 027 01506 0000000000
0214 2807N 08455W 01524 5051 342 026 188 148 026 01507 0000000000
0214. 2805N 08456W 01524 5047 338 027 188 148 027 01512 0000000000
0215 2804N 08458W 01524 5045 337 024 186 152 027 01513 0000000000
0215. 2803N 08459W 01523 5043 334 021 186 150 021 01515 0000000000
0216 2802N 08500W 01525 5041 336 027 184 150 028 01519 0000000000
0216. 2800N 08502W 01523 5039 335 026 186 152 027 01518 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146204
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#169 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:19 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Recon site vortex data said it had dropped a bit to 996. Is that correct?


Yes dixie,that was the earlier vortex message.Now a new one is comming in minutes to see how the pressure and winds are.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#170 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:19 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:yes that is correct the last vortex message had a pressure of 996mb


Thanks James, I was surprised it is still deepening.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#171 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:21 pm

The 997 was high for its intensity though...so the pressure is just catching up.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#172 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:23 pm

Image

Expect a vortex to come in with a location about 20mi due NE of the old position (my guestimate). And I'll guess a time for kicks as well - 02:08:53. What can I say, I'm bored. :D
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#173 Postby clfenwi » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:24 pm

441
UZNT13 KNHC 130220
XXAA 63028 99283 70847 08184 99998 21803 17008 00521 ///// /////
92654 18603 10507 85378 15800 00506 88999 77999
31313 09608 80208
61616 AF307 0501A ALBERTO OB 10
62626 EYE SPL 2834N08468W 0210 LST WND 012 MBL WND 16005 AEV 2060
1 DLM WND 14005 996912 WL150 16506 087 =
XXBB 63028 99283 70847 08184 00998 21803 11850 15800 22843 16400
21212 00998 17008 11996 17007 22937 14004 33922 10008 44912 09006
55843 36007
31313 09608 80208
61616 AF307 0501A ALBERTO OB 10
62626 EYE SPL 2834N08468W 0210 LST WND 012 MBL WND 16005 AEV 2060
1 DLM WND 14005 996912 WL150 16506 087 =

28.3 N 84.7 W

Surface
998 mb
Temp 21.8 DD 0.3
Wind 8 knots // 020

925 millibars 654 meters
Temp 18.6 DD 0.3
Wind 7 knots //105

850 millibars 1378 meters
Temp 15.8 DD 0.0
Wind 6 knots // 005
Last edited by clfenwi on Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#174 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:24 pm

OK, I was wrong.

URNT12 KNHC 130220
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 13/02:08:00Z
B. 28 deg 21 min N
084 deg 41 min W
C. 850 mb 1390 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 131 deg 042 kt
G. 31 deg 033 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 16 C/ 3055 m
J. 18 C/ 1525 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF307 0501A ALBERTO OB 09
MAX FL WIND 68 KT NE QUAD 01:20:30 Z AT FL 100.
MAX FL WIND 42 KT NE QUAD 01:57:00 Z AT FL 050.

Pressure 998.
Only 2C difference between eye and surroundings at this height.
Last edited by WindRunner on Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#175 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:24 pm

....
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
EFrancis
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:23 am
Location: Gahanna, Ohio (East Columbus)
Contact:
Contact EFrancis

#176 Postby EFrancis » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 pm

So do we have a hurricane on our hands here? Or is it still just a strong Tropical Storm?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#177 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 pm

440
URNT12 KNHC 130220
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 13/02:08:00Z
B. 28 deg 21 min N
084 deg 41 min W
C. 850 mb 1390 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 131 deg 042 kt
G. 31 deg 033 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 16 C/ 3055 m
J. 18 C/ 1525 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF307 0501A ALBERTO OB 09
MAX FL WIND 68 KT NE QUAD 01:20:30 Z AT FL 100.
MAX FL WIND 42 KT NE QUAD 01:57:00 Z AT FL 050.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#178 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 pm

If anything, a slightly weaker tropical storm probably.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#179 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:30 pm

046
SXXX50 KNHC 130224
AF307 0501A ALBERTO HDOB 21 KNHC
0217 2759N 08503W 01525 5037 336 026 186 154 028 01523 0000000000
0217. 2758N 08505W 01524 5034 333 027 184 162 027 01524 0000000000
0218 2757N 08506W 01524 5032 326 029 186 154 030 01526 0000000000
0218. 2756N 08507W 01525 5030 326 029 186 154 030 01530 0000000000
0219 2755N 08509W 01525 5027 327 033 176 158 037 01532 0000000000
0219. 2753N 08510W 01523 5024 324 037 168 160 037 01533 0000000000
0220 2752N 08511W 01526 5021 326 036 164 158 036 01540 0000000000
0220. 2751N 08513W 01522 5017 327 038 160 156 040 01540 0000000000
0221 2750N 08514W 01526 5015 329 040 154 152 043 01545 0000000000
0221. 2749N 08515W 01524 5013 335 047 152 150 047 01546 0000000000
0222 2747N 08517W 01525 5011 335 043 148 148 045 01548 0000000000
0222. 2746N 08518W 01525 5009 339 044 146 146 045 01550 0000000000
0223 2745N 08520W 01522 5007 340 042 154 148 043 01550 0000000000
0223. 2744N 08521W 01523 5004 340 043 154 146 044 01554 0000000000
0224 2742N 08522W 01524 5002 338 042 154 148 043 01557 0000000000
0224. 2741N 08524W 01524 0001 337 041 150 148 043 01559 0000000000
0225 2740N 08525W 01524 0003 338 044 148 142 044 01562 0000000000
0225. 2739N 08527W 01524 0005 340 043 144 144 043 01564 0000000000
0226 2737N 08528W 01523 0007 341 041 142 142 041 01565 0000000000
0226. 2736N 08529W 01524 0009 342 041 140 140 041 01568 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#180 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:33 pm

Image

Vortex plotted, a 25 mile NE movement in 118 minutes. So about 11kts for the 11pm advisory, probably.

This is my last map tonight, I'm off to bed now. Have fun the next few hours with this . . . I'm sure it'll be downright enthralling for all of us . . . :lol: 8-)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: NingNing and 23 guests