Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #1

[boca]

Looking at the sat I already see banding and it just off the coast of Africa.

[The Hurricaner]

Wow, ive been away from the computer for a couple of hours and it looks alot more impressive now! But i will repeat other people saying its june.

[Hyperstorm]

I think we can now safely say that June conditions have prevailed over the Eastern Atlantic.

The vigorous tropical disturbance we were monitoring yesterday has lost much of its well-developed signature and is struggling to regain convection. Convection may refire sporadically during the next few days (as is normal), but since it is not as well-defined as yesterday, it will be almost impossible to see it regain its former structure.

We can definitely see that it takes much more than moist air in the mid-upper levels to see a persistent disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic, regardless of the time of year. It is a shame we can't fly Air Force Recon into systems this far out (due to distance/money issues). The Eastern Atlantic is a very complicated area for development and we can use all the data we can gather to understand it better.

[cycloneye]

I think we can now safely say that June conditions have prevailed over the Eastern Atlantic.

The vigorous tropical disturbance we were monitoring yesterday has lost much of its well-developed signature and is struggling to regain convection. Convection may refire sporadically during the next few days (as is normal), but since it is not as well-defined as yesterday, it will be almost impossible to see it regain its former structure.

We can definitely see that it takes much more than moist air in the mid-upper levels to see a persistent disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic, regardless of the time of year. It is a shame we can't fly Air Force Recon into systems this far out (due to distance/money issues). The Eastern Atlantic is a very complicated area for development and we need all the data we can gather to understand it better.

Yes,agree with the normal June conditions there prevailing.About the observations from that part of the world,only two stations we can look at,and those are the Dakar and Cape Verde ones where they have the observations updated. The others in the area are or old info or incomplete info.With luck when a well organized disturbance rolls out of Africa,a ship is in the area to provide data.And always we have QuickScat available.But that is all that is there as observations.If there were some bouys in the Eastern Atlantic,those would be of big help in terms of observations.

[canegrl04]

I don't think we will see Beryl untill July

[Stormcenter]

I don't think we will see Beryl untill July

Good.

[rockyman]

With the way the upper level conditions are setting up in the Gulf and Western Caribbean over the next week, I'd be surprised if we do not at least have a "scare" between now and the end of July (after all, 2 weeks in the tropics in an eternity)

[gatorcane]

Looks like it has magically disappeared so it is time to post this - we are still in June:

[beachbum_al]

And Boom! Something will come back later.

[gatorcane]

actually the wave out in front of it is looking pretty good with some convection and a spin - i think we should watch that one....

Check out 10N and 35W....looking rather impressive.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

I have to say that Boca Chris is right, this thing at 35W and 10N looks really good.

[skysummit]

It does look like there is some sort of low to mid level rotation associated with it.

[TS Zack]

I don't think we will see Beryl untill July

You all are too quick to pull the trigger. July is two weeks away, do you realize how much can change from now to then.

Just give it time, you all are obviously hurricane hungry because this is normal for this time of year.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I hope berly will form soon...Might be in the eastern Atlantic or caribbean but it is waited for.

Hopefully in the next week I can get my computer on so I can track it.

[canegrl04]

I probably shouldn't have made that statement,as the tropics can be very unpredictable. It is possible for Beryl to come along before the end of June,.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I agree it can form at any time.

[P.K.]

I make this the tenth wave of the year in the TWDs now.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Wave 10
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS ALONG
22W/23W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
7N23W.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

How many did last year have at this time?

[P.K.]

Last year between the 10th May and the 16th June there were 13 waves. This year from the 15th May to now we are up to 10.

[CHRISTY]

Here are a couple of waves iam watching.....