Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #1

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boca
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#321 Postby boca » Thu Jun 15, 2006 10:05 pm

Looking at the sat I already see banding and it just off the coast of Africa.
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#322 Postby The Hurricaner » Fri Jun 16, 2006 12:11 am

Wow, ive been away from the computer for a couple of hours and it looks alot more impressive now! But i will repeat other people saying its june.
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#323 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Jun 16, 2006 7:16 am

I think we can now safely say that June conditions have prevailed over the Eastern Atlantic.

The vigorous tropical disturbance we were monitoring yesterday has lost much of its well-developed signature and is struggling to regain convection. Convection may refire sporadically during the next few days (as is normal), but since it is not as well-defined as yesterday, it will be almost impossible to see it regain its former structure.

We can definitely see that it takes much more than moist air in the mid-upper levels to see a persistent disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic, regardless of the time of year. It is a shame we can't fly Air Force Recon into systems this far out (due to distance/money issues). The Eastern Atlantic is a very complicated area for development and we can use all the data we can gather to understand it better.
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#324 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 16, 2006 7:27 am

Hyperstorm wrote:I think we can now safely say that June conditions have prevailed over the Eastern Atlantic.

The vigorous tropical disturbance we were monitoring yesterday has lost much of its well-developed signature and is struggling to regain convection. Convection may refire sporadically during the next few days (as is normal), but since it is not as well-defined as yesterday, it will be almost impossible to see it regain its former structure.

We can definitely see that it takes much more than moist air in the mid-upper levels to see a persistent disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic, regardless of the time of year. It is a shame we can't fly Air Force Recon into systems this far out (due to distance/money issues). The Eastern Atlantic is a very complicated area for development and we need all the data we can gather to understand it better.


Yes,agree with the normal June conditions there prevailing.About the observations from that part of the world,only two stations we can look at,and those are the Dakar and Cape Verde ones where they have the observations updated. The others in the area are or old info or incomplete info.With luck when a well organized disturbance rolls out of Africa,a ship is in the area to provide data.And always we have QuickScat available.But that is all that is there as observations.If there were some bouys in the Eastern Atlantic,those would be of big help in terms of observations.
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#325 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Jun 16, 2006 7:44 am

I don't think we will see Beryl untill July
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#326 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jun 16, 2006 7:50 am

canegrl04 wrote:I don't think we will see Beryl untill July


Good. :)
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#327 Postby rockyman » Fri Jun 16, 2006 8:22 am

With the way the upper level conditions are setting up in the Gulf and Western Caribbean over the next week, I'd be surprised if we do not at least have a "scare" between now and the end of July (after all, 2 weeks in the tropics in an eternity) :)
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#328 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jun 16, 2006 8:32 am

Looks like it has magically disappeared so it is time to post this - we are still in June:

:blowup:
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#329 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jun 16, 2006 9:07 am

And Boom! Something will come back later.
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#330 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jun 16, 2006 9:59 am

actually the wave out in front of it is looking pretty good with some convection and a spin - i think we should watch that one....

Check out 10N and 35W....looking rather impressive.
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#331 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Jun 16, 2006 10:49 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

I have to say that Boca Chris is right, this thing at 35W and 10N looks really good.
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#332 Postby skysummit » Fri Jun 16, 2006 11:18 am

It does look like there is some sort of low to mid level rotation associated with it.
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#333 Postby TS Zack » Fri Jun 16, 2006 11:52 am

canegrl04 wrote:I don't think we will see Beryl untill July


You all are too quick to pull the trigger. July is two weeks away, do you realize how much can change from now to then.

Just give it time, you all are obviously hurricane hungry because this is normal for this time of year.
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#334 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:02 pm

I hope berly will form soon...Might be in the eastern Atlantic or caribbean but it is waited for.

Hopefully in the next week I can get my computer on so I can track it. :x
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#335 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:26 pm

I probably shouldn't have made that statement,as the tropics can be very unpredictable. It is possible for Beryl to come along before the end of June,.
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#336 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:26 pm

I agree it can form at any time.
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#337 Postby P.K. » Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:30 pm

I make this the tenth wave of the year in the TWDs now.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Wave 10
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS ALONG
22W/23W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
7N23W.
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#338 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:34 pm

How many did last year have at this time?
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#339 Postby P.K. » Fri Jun 16, 2006 4:00 pm

Last year between the 10th May and the 16th June there were 13 waves. This year from the 15th May to now we are up to 10.
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CHRISTY

#340 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 16, 2006 4:02 pm

Here are a couple of waves iam watching.....

Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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