Southeast, Texas Under the Gun Tonight....

#241 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 8:36 am

Well, the NWS has really changed their tune from 2 days ago. Looks like an extended dry period instead of another round of wet weather.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
420 AM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHRA REMAINING MOSTLY OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. WILL BE GO-
ING WITH MODEL TRENDS STARTED YESTERDAY OF LOWERING POPS THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT ONE MORE DAY OF SCT
-TSRAS TODAY GIVEN THE LINGERING MOISTURE/STILL SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER SE TX AFTER SOME HEATING LATER THIS AFTN. HOWEVER...
WITH A PERSISTENT OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION BY THE
WEEKEND (IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK "COOL" FRONT ON SAT) PCPN COVERAGE
SHOULD BECOME MUCH MORE LIMITED AS THE AIRMASS DRIES OUT AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST. POPS TO REMAIN LOW/NEAR NIL FOR
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK DESPITE PROGS OF SETX STAYING JUST ON
THE PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD WEAKNESS AREA ALOFT. PER THESE CURRENT
EXTENDED RUNS...WE MAY NOT SEE ANY SIGNIFICANT POPS UNITL LATE IN
THE WEEK (WHEN MORE PERSISTENT/STRONGER ONSHORE LL WINDS ARE FCST
TO RESUME).

Yankeegirl · #242 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 11:29 am

I just noticed that too! Wow, what a change from yesterdays forecast being pretty wet around here for the rest of the week, to no chanced of rain at all!! Well I guess I am going to get my lawn mowed now that I know the rain event it totally over....

Yankeegirl · #243 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 1:31 pm

Getting a nice little shower and thunderstorm right now... The radar says its right south of me....

Johnny · #244 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 2:32 pm

I'm getting hit pretty hard here in Montgomery County.

http://www.click2weather.com/wxmap/1807601/detail.html

#245 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 2:42 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
238 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 232 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CONROE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIS...
CUT AND SHOOT...
CONROE...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

Johnny · #246 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 2:42 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
238 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 232 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CONROE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIS...
CUT AND SHOOT...
CONROE...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3031 9563 3023 9545 3033 9530 3049 9555

#247 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 2:44 pm

Crazy how there is more action today than yesterday...

Johnny · #248 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 2:45 pm

You beat me to it jschlitz. :cheesy:

My wife just called me here at the office and said that we have lots of branches down and the rain is unreal. We are getting more in this one storm that we did when that ULL was parked over us for a few days. I'm also getting pummeled pretty good here in southern Montgomery County near Rayford Road.

#249 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 3:00 pm

Yep, I'm showing rainfall rates of up to 2.5"/hour right over The Woodlands from this. I think I totaled close to 3" from the ULL.

Multiple outflow boundries are about to converge on the city of Houston. It'll be interesting to see what happens in the next our or two. It's still in the 90's here by the Galleria.

Extremeweatherguy · #250 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 3:13 pm

I am getting a nice rainstorm in spring too. No branches down, and not quite 3", but I would guess I am getting a nice 0.50 - 1.00" of rain (but it is still coming down, so these totals may go up).

#251 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 3:15 pm

Hey EWG, that storm going up in Spring is still forming with a good updraft. I wouldn't be surprised if you saw some hail.

Extremeweatherguy · #252 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 3:18 pm

jschlitz wrote:Hey EWG, that storm going up in Spring is still forming with a good updraft. I wouldn't be surprised if you saw some hail.

yeah, the rain has justed started to get VERY heavy.

#253 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:03 pm

There are currently 3 severe thunderstorm warnings in effect (in addition to the ones earlier). No watch, no risk area, not even a Mesoscale Discussion.

I've seen full-blown watches with less warnings than this.

#254 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:05 pm

I would expect a warning for Harris County anytime now...

Johnny · #255 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:22 pm

It looks like west and northwest Houston is gettng some strong stuff at the moment. It's raining all up and down 45 on the northside. Looks like a fun ride home.

Extremeweatherguy · #256 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:28 pm

wow...just east of me there is tons of lightning and it looks like the storm is back-building toward me from the east and south. Would not be surprised to see a warning soon!

Extremeweatherguy · #257 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:31 pm

lots of power flickering right now.

#258 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:43 pm

Bada Bing - Bada Bang!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
436 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SPLASHTOWN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRING...
SPLASHTOWN...
PORTER HEIGHTS...
ROMAN FOREST...

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW!

THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE
PROPERTY DAMAGE OR SERIOUS INJURY. AVOID WINDOWS AND TAKE COVER NOW!

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

Extremeweatherguy · #259 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 5:04 pm

Wow. I just saw a great lightning show! That severe storm exploded within a mile of my area (but stayed just east of me). There were tons of close lightning strikes, and some breezy winds, but my area really missed out from any severe stuff. I am getting a nice soaking downpour right now though.

Also...I would bet that within a mile or two of my area there was hail. Anyone have hail to report?

#260 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jun 22, 2006 5:08 pm

It's been indicated on radar up to 1.50 - 1.75" along and just east of I-45. last frame shows rotation. Also that cell in N. Fort Bend may get a warning too.

Just in - Flash FLood Warning now for Harris.

Southeast, Texas Under the Gun Tonight....

Who is online