HurricaneHunter914 wrote:IMO 94L is going to get sucked into 93L, not the other way around.
Whats the reasoning behind that? 93 L is a more defined wave but much more disorganized.
94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1
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HurricaneHunter914
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Okay lets just drop what I said because right now I really can't deal with this.
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HouTXmetro
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Extremeweatherguy
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From the 10:30pm TWO:
If JB is right then the upper winds will be dying soon, but either way the NHC is still saying there is a chance of some weak development.
BTW, here is what was said for 93L:
Looks like the BOC system has a better chance.
lol.
**Also, notice that 94L is moving NW, not W**
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN HIGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
If JB is right then the upper winds will be dying soon, but either way the NHC is still saying there is a chance of some weak development.
BTW, here is what was said for 93L:
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.
Looks like the BOC system has a better chance.
lol.
**Also, notice that 94L is moving NW, not W**
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Thu Jun 29, 2006 9:18 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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gatorcane
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:From the 10:30pm TWO:SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN HIGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
If JB is right then the upper winds will be dying soon, but either way the NHC is still saying there is a chance of some weak development.
this basically means very little chance for development in NHC talk folks - that is how I take it.
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Extremeweatherguy
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Well it has a better chance than anything else out there right now, so it is noteworthy for sure.gatorcane wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:From the 10:30pm TWO:SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN HIGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
If JB is right then the upper winds will be dying soon, but either way the NHC is still saying there is a chance of some weak development.
this basically means very little chance for development in NHC talk folks - that is how I take it.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Thu Jun 29, 2006 9:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Opal storm
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corpusbreeze
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Because they can. The NHC doesn't need ratings to stay afloat, just our good ol hard earned tax dollar. Accuweather on the other hand needs some hype to make that hard earned buck. But I have to say I love to hear JBs hype over the boring NHC outlooks.gatorcane wrote:so why does the NHC negate any possibility of development over the next couple of days?
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HurricaneHunter914
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Wow, that TWO almost shocked me.
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spinfan4eva
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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN HIGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
I'd say they NHC has beefed up the wording from 530 a little bit--At 530, it was development if any would be slow.
Looks like UL winds favor only at Tropical depression or weak tropical storm but nothing significant-like a hurricane should come from this until the winds become more favorable.
Also on 93L, They said tc development is not expected (though it is mother nature and expect the unexpected)
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Epsilon_Fan
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HurricaneHunter914
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I think the NHC are being a little generous with 94L. The shear is increasing over the system and it has lost convection. Now 93L has gained convection and the shear is decreasing around it.
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wxman57
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Not much to it tonight. Thunderstorms are just about gone and it's moving ashore tomorrow. Just a puff of thunderstorms today. Forget about it. Go take the weekend and 4th of July off and have a great time. Might not see any development for another 4-5 weeks. Just a typical June/July pattern.
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HurricaneHunter914
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Too bad our area is expecting rain on the 4th of July.
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Weatherfreak000
wxman57 wrote:Not much to it tonight. Thunderstorms are just about gone and it's moving ashore tomorrow. Just a puff of thunderstorms today. Forget about it. Go take the weekend and 4th of July off and have a great time. Might not see any development for another 4-5 weeks. Just a typical June/July pattern.
On what basis do you expect a "typical" June/July pattern for 4 to 5 weeks if I may ask.
5 Weeks runs into the first week of August for xxxxx sake.
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