96L Invest,E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

#421 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:22 pm

Thanks Thunder......see people, it's still there.

#422 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:23 pm

Looks like overall pressures in the Carib. are not as high as they have been and from what I see the shear is expected to relax over the eastern half. If 96L retains some of its structure and convection it could develop once it gets into the eastern Carib.

Thunder44 · #423 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:28 pm

cheezywxman wrote:yup...it has outflow, possibly another devloping MLL??

By the way, I don't this think has a chance to develop. It's just thunderstorms associated with the ITCZ and will probably run into South America or dissapate before even getting there.

#424 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:31 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
cheezywxman wrote:yup...it has outflow, possibly another devloping MLL??

By the way, I don't this think has a chance to develop. It's just thunderstorms associated with the ITCZ and will probably run into South America or dissapate before even getting there.

Are you looking at the right area? There's no way it can run into South America. It's already well north of that latitude.

Jam151 · #425 Postby **Jam151** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:36 pm

Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE! :grr:

Opal storm · #426 Postby **Opal storm** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:40 pm

Jam151 wrote:Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE!

LOL whatever...they are experts you are not.Bashing the NHC is not a smart thing to do on this board.

Jam151 · #427 Postby **Jam151** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:41 pm

If yall wanna see what a true disturbence looks like look at the one south of mexico. Thats a true storm in the making. I can't believe Stewart is saying this is better organized. :grr:

WindRunner · #428 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:42 pm

Jam151 wrote:Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE!

We really don't need this - 96L has what most other invests this year have been missing (as it seems to be the hardest to develop), a LLC. The covnection-gaining is the easy part, and can happen rather quickly. The rest of us would be yelling if he didn't mention it, so I'm really not sure of your problem, unless you haven't looked at the system in the past few days.

Jam151 · #429 Postby **Jam151** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:44 pm

Well i don't want to talk bad about the NHC but this is just too much. I beg all of you to look at this disterbence and then look at the one in the epac, you will see the difference.

#430 Postby **Ivanhater** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:44 pm

Jam151 wrote:If yall wanna see what a true disturbence looks like look at the one south of mexico. Thats a true storm in the making. I can't believe Stewart is saying this is better organized.

Wait, I thought you were done posting on this wave, yet you keep posting on it You keep saying the same thing over and over, we get your point so you don't have to keep saying it. Now if you have something to contribute to the discussion post away, if not... don't.

#431 Postby **NDG** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:45 pm

Jam151 wrote:Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE!

I think you are the one going insane, wishing that 96L would just disappear, face it conditions are not that terrible, otherwise it would had been gone a long time ago. Yes, there is light shear and dry air, but somehow it still has a good identified curviture to it, small but still there. Remember that this came from a very strong tropical wave, so the energy still there.

#432 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:46 pm

Jam151 wrote:Well i don't want to talk bad about the NHC but this is just too much. I beg all of you to look at this disterbence and then look at the one in the epac, you will see the difference.

Yes...there is a difference between the two systems...a BIG one. However, if you would know the dynamics of tropical cyclones, you'd see where Stewart is coming from. He's the pro here and believe it or not, he has a good reason to post what he has.

Jam151 · #433 Postby **Jam151** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:47 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Jam151 wrote:Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE!

We really don't need this - 96L has what most other invests this year have been missing (as it seems to be the hardest to develop), a LLC. The covnection-gaining is the easy part, and can happen rather quickly. The rest of us would be yelling if he didn't mention it, so I'm really not sure of your problem, unless you haven't looked at the system in the past few days.

ARE U SERIOUS???? God let me shut up because i'm gonna blow a gasket. :grr:

HurricaneMaster_PR · #434 Postby **HurricaneMaster_PR** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:49 pm

Jam151 wrote:Well i don't want to talk bad about the NHC but this is just too much. I beg all of you to look at this disterbence and then look at the one in the epac, you will see the difference.

Ok..you are comparing a strong tropical storm to a tropical wave... Obviously the tropical storm will look really much better than the wave.

The NHC states that the wave is better organize because of what WindRunner said. It has developed a LLC which can be clearly seen in latest visible loop.

beachbum_al · #435 Postby **beachbum_al** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:49 pm

I think Stewart has a lot more experience forecasting then the person bashing him.

#436 Postby **Ivanhater** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:49 pm

Jam151 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
Jam151 wrote:Stewart must have lost his freaking mind. Their is nothing there, how can we take them seriously when the peak actually gets here when stewart does stuff like this. INSANE!

We really don't need this - 96L has what most other invests this year have been missing (as it seems to be the hardest to develop), a LLC. The covnection-gaining is the easy part, and can happen rather quickly. The rest of us would be yelling if he didn't mention it, so I'm really not sure of your problem, unless you haven't looked at the system in the past few days.

ARE U SERIOUS???? God let me shut up because i'm gonna blow a gasket.

God does answer prayers :wink:

Opal storm · #437 Postby **Opal storm** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:50 pm

beachbum_al wrote:I think Stewart has a lot more experience forecasting then the person bashing him.

Obviously

ccstorms · #438 Postby **ccstorms** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:50 pm

Stacy is referring to the wave structure.

#439 Postby **tailgater** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:50 pm

I'll bet the Southern Islands at least some gusty winds

#440 Postby **NDG** » Tue Jul 11, 2006 4:50 pm

beachbum_al wrote:I think Stewart has a lot more experience forecasting then the person bashing him.

Well put.

96L Invest,E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

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