Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

#61 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:03 pm

This image updates every half an hour.A new burst of deep convection has developed.This is important because for the first time this year a wave refires convection over the water after it weakened a little earlier this afternoon.

#62 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:04 pm

cycloneye wrote:NRL Image

This image updates every half an hour.A new burst of deep convection has developed.This is important because for the first time this year a wave refires convection over the water after it weakened a little earlier this afternoon.

Woohoo! Here it starts folks perhaps :eek:

cheezyWXguy · #63 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:05 pm

cycloneye, can you give me the address of the full disk satelite you have

#64 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:09 pm

cheezywxman wrote:cycloneye, can you give me the address of the full disk satelite you have

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus.html :larrow:

To register for free.

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/abin/geobrowse :larrow:

If you are registered you can see the full disks images.

cheezyWXguy · #65 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:11 pm

thanks, cycloneye!

#66 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:12 pm

latest, updated NHC image showing the burst of convection:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

#67 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:14 pm

gatorcane wrote:latest, updated NHC image showing the burst of convection:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

But that is old,00:15 UTC.What I posted above was the 2:00 UTC the latest which changes every half an hour,while the image you posted is of 6 hours intervals.

whereverwx · #68 Postby **whereverwx** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:17 pm

Ah... I guess it will go poof later on this week.

#69 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:19 pm

I don't know folks, where is the dry air out ahead of it? Seems the dry air is less and less.....check out the water vapor (it is several hours old though):

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg

boca · #70 Postby **boca** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:22 pm

calamity wrote:Ah... I guess it will go poof later on this week.

What calamity posted that sat pic doesn't seem like its on the wane but actually organizing as its moving westward.

#71 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:30 pm

LSU Image

Another view of the wave at 2:45 UTC in a more closeup way,where you can see the deep convection burst.

cheezyWXguy · #72 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:31 pm

If this keeps up Ill be talking about my name in a couple of days(chris)!

#73 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:32 pm

cheezywxman wrote:If this keeps up Ill be talking about my name in a couple of days(chris)!

What about Beryl?

cheezyWXguy · #74 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:34 pm

I assume that would be the carolina disturbance...now that I think about it, it maybe a little more of a race to see who gets it first if they both intensify

#75 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:35 pm

I know its early to speculate on tracks but I want to make sure people know it will be moving west beneath the strong Azores high.....I don't see how it will be moving north.

HurricaneHunter914 · #76 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:35 pm

97L will probably take care of Beryl.

#77 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:38 pm

Here is the ridge at 48 hours holding strong:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=048hr

#78 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:39 pm

I think that this latest burst of convection will do two things.NHC will mention the wave at some point tommorow at the TWO.And they will be on the brink to put 98L invest up also tommorow.

HurricaneHunter914 · #79 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:40 pm

I hope that blow up of convection (probably becuase of the overnight convection stage) gets the NHC's attention.

#80 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:42 pm

maybe they will say something like:

"an active tropical wave xxxx miles from yy has scattered to moderate convection and shows some signs of organization. Conditions are favorable for some slow development over the next couple of days as it moves West at 15-20mph"

Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

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