Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

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cycloneye
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#61 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:03 pm

NRL Image

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

This image updates every half an hour.A new burst of deep convection has developed.This is important because for the first time this year a wave refires convection over the water after it weakened a little earlier this afternoon.
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#62 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:04 pm

cycloneye wrote:NRL Image

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

This image updates every half an hour.A new burst of deep convection has developed.This is important because for the first time this year a wave refires convection over the water after it weakened a little earlier this afternoon.


Woohoo! Here it starts folks perhaps :eek:
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#63 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:05 pm

cycloneye, can you give me the address of the full disk satelite you have
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#64 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:09 pm

cheezywxman wrote:cycloneye, can you give me the address of the full disk satelite you have


http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus.html :larrow: To register for free.

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/abin/geobrowse :larrow: If you are registered you can see the full disks images.
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#65 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:11 pm

thanks, cycloneye!
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#66 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:12 pm

latest, updated NHC image showing the burst of convection:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#67 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:14 pm

gatorcane wrote:latest, updated NHC image showing the burst of convection:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg


But that is old,00:15 UTC.What I posted above was the 2:00 UTC the latest which changes every half an hour,while the image you posted is of 6 hours intervals.
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#68 Postby whereverwx » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:17 pm

Ah... I guess it will go poof later on this week.

Image
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#69 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:19 pm

I don't know folks, where is the dry air out ahead of it? Seems the dry air is less and less.....check out the water vapor (it is several hours old though):

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg
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#70 Postby boca » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:22 pm

calamity wrote:Ah... I guess it will go poof later on this week.

Image


What calamity posted that sat pic doesn't seem like its on the wane but actually organizing as its moving westward.
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#71 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:30 pm

LSU Image

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Another view of the wave at 2:45 UTC in a more closeup way,where you can see the deep convection burst.
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#72 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:31 pm

If this keeps up Ill be talking about my name in a couple of days(chris)!
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#73 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:32 pm

cheezywxman wrote:If this keeps up Ill be talking about my name in a couple of days(chris)!


What about Beryl?
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#74 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:34 pm

I assume that would be the carolina disturbance...now that I think about it, it maybe a little more of a race to see who gets it first if they both intensify
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#75 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:35 pm

I know its early to speculate on tracks but I want to make sure people know it will be moving west beneath the strong Azores high.....I don't see how it will be moving north.
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#76 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:35 pm

97L will probably take care of Beryl.
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#77 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:38 pm

Here is the ridge at 48 hours holding strong:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=048hr
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#78 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:39 pm

I think that this latest burst of convection will do two things.NHC will mention the wave at some point tommorow at the TWO.And they will be on the brink to put 98L invest up also tommorow.
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#79 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:40 pm

I hope that blow up of convection (probably becuase of the overnight convection stage) gets the NHC's attention.
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#80 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:42 pm

maybe they will say something like:

"an active tropical wave xxxx miles from yy has scattered to moderate convection and shows some signs of organization. Conditions are favorable for some slow development over the next couple of days as it moves West at 15-20mph"
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