Tropical Storm Beryl

[cpdaman]

drezee where is that radar image from

[cheezyWXguy]

This could end up being a real problem for southern New England.

And my grandma who lives on long island, although it appears she wont get the worst

[drezee]

drezee where is that radar image from

Wakefield VA



Visible Loop

[cpdaman]

got it, on the latest loop (radar) it appears that feature has diminished, at least temporarily; agreed?

on that visible it appears this thing is blowing up!

[drezee]

Latest coastal MA forecast for small craft (south of Boston)..I think they may be underdone...

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1051 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER MA TO WATCH HILL RI OUT TO
25 NM

ANZ235-237-200215-
/O.CON.KBOX.SW.Y.0036.060720T1400Z-060720T2200Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1051 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE WINDS AROUND 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.THU...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING WITH VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...MAINLY IN S SWELLS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING NW 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
VSBY 1 TO 3 NM UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

[abryant.ma]

i don't really think that Beryl is going to reach hurricane status. the waters are only going to get cooler from here on. however, the possibility is definately there! [/img]

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

Beryl continues to look better organized.

[cpdaman]

i know the rhode island sound area is slighly protected from direct swell action but i'm sure the coatal water forecast would be adjusted if the intenisty increases or the strom's windfield increases ( give them a little time to adjust)

[HurricaneHunter914]

If Beryl moved slightly to the west, she would have had a better chance of becoming a hurricane.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nice blow up of convection over the center. Alex 2004 got to cat3 at 38 north something like that.

[Thunder44]

The storm is not moving very fast. It has about another 12hrs or so over the gulf stream. Many storms have had a history intensifying greatly with the proper atmospheric conditions over it. I wouldn't rule out a hurricane.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I would not have took down that tropical storm watch. Long islands going to get a close call with this.

[Thunder44]

I would not have took down that tropical storm watch. Long islands going to get a close call with this.

TS Watch was for North Carolina. It's pretty obvious they won't get any TS force winds.

[CrazyC83]

That almost looks extratropical - seems like a cold front trying to form!

[cheezyWXguy]

thats just because thers a front right behind it...if you look at the ssd animations and check the NWS fronts it shows the fron right behind it which is pushing out the outflow

[Trugunzn]

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like a shift west in the models.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Just think if she became a hurricane over the next 12 hours. Which is possible with the blow up of convection. Then made a swing at new york or long island.

[cheezyWXguy]

Im scared for my grandma

[Extremeweatherguy]

At the very least I think that eastern MA is looking at tropical storm force sustained winds out of this. With a more westward track, however, these same winds may reach places like New york city, Long Island, and Boston too!