Tropical Storm Beryl

cheezyWXguy · #641 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:07 pm

I think with the 5pm advisory theyll put TS watches for Long Island and cape cod

#642 Postby **Stephanie** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:08 pm

Hmmm....I may get side-swiped myself. :eek:

#643 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:16 pm

I'm very concerned that Beryl might catch us with our pants down up here; both Boston and Halifax TV stations were writing her off last night and this morning. I hope she stays weak, and offshore, because if she doesn't it could cause lots of problems. I find people up here do not watch TV much on the weekends, especially in Summer. As such Beryl has a chance to launch a "sneak attack".

abryant.ma · #644 Postby **abryant.ma** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:17 pm

well i'm on the cape and i am following this storm VERY closely.
hmm. i'm working on an updated graphic.

KWT · #645 Postby **KWT** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:18 pm

Better hope that the jet streak to its west reaches it because this system is looking very good and least us forget what the gulf stream done for Alex. Wouldn't it be uncanny if it did do an Alex and then darted northwards close to Long Island as a hurricane. New Orleans last year then New York this year.

In all honesty though I personally don't think it'll get much above 60mph because of cooler waters and increasing shear again.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #646 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:19 pm

I think this is going through a kind of a IRC right now. I think we might have a hurricane in 6 hours.

#647 Postby **Lowpressure** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:22 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I think this is going through a kind of a IRC right now. I think we might have a hurricane in 6 hours.

Reorganization of LLC under convection and better vertical stacking, but no IRC.

abryant.ma · #648 Postby **abryant.ma** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:25 pm

the images arent exactly on top of each other but, it still does the job.

#649 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:48 pm

The only good thing is such a track keeps it weaker than moving over the Gulf Stream due to much cooler water.

HurricaneHunter914 · #650 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:14 pm

Apparently alot of people are losing interest in Beryl.

Windsurfer_NYC · #651 Postby **Windsurfer_NYC** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:25 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Apparently alot of people are losing interest in Beryl.

Well, I'm interested, especially since the 12Z GFDL brings Beryl into western Long Island!

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2006071912-beryl02l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_02.gif

HurricaneHunter914 · #652 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:28 pm

Yet Daniel is stealing the show.

Extremeweatherguy · #653 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:31 pm

I think Beryl will be at least a 55mph storm at the 5pm advisory.

Trugunzn · #654 Postby **Trugunzn** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:32 pm

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Apparently alot of people are losing interest in Beryl.

Well, I'm interested, especially since the 12Z GFDL brings Beryl into western Long Island!

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2006071912-beryl02l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_02.gif

GFS also has Beryl heading to Weastern long Island

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

HurricaneHunter914 · #655 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:33 pm

If she can stall over the GS for a long period of time she might be a hurricane.

Trugunzn · #656 Postby **Trugunzn** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:37 pm

Eyewall · #657 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:38 pm

jeez people...
the storm is weak, will be fast moving, and small
not much of a problem...

also from the latest images the convection is not covering the center all the way, the storm cant intensify with that going on..

plus the storm is not very far from cooler waters
i'd say if anything we would see a windy day with occasional heavy rain in long island, IF it hit there..

not trying to offend anyone
just saying what I think

#658 Postby **AnnularCane** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:40 pm

I haven't said much, but I haven't lost interest in her. I just don't have much of anything to say at this point.

HurricaneHunter914 · #659 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:45 pm

jeez people...
the storm is weak, will be fast moving, and small
not much of a problem...

also from the latest images the convection is not covering the center all the way, the storm cant intensify with that going on..

plus the storm is not very far from cooler waters
i'd say if anything we would see a windy day with occasional heavy rain in long island, IF it hit there..

not trying to offend anyone
just saying what I think

I don't think 8 mph is really fast. Also Beryl isn't so weak and her being small doesn't mean anything. And yes Beryl can still intensify because at least there is convection over the center.

Hurricaneman · #660 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:47 pm

Im keeping a very close eye on this

Tropical Storm Beryl

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