Dereck you may see your 1% turn to 100%

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storms in NC wrote:It is really hanging on to it's top's. Not being blown away. You can see it deeping with each frame.
Dereck you may see your 1% turn to 100%
You've got to admit this looks a bit like Alberto when it was developing though. I think this has a better chance than it did yesterday.Air Force Met wrote:storms in NC wrote:It is really hanging on to it's top's. Not being blown away. You can see it deeping with each frame.
Dereck you may see your 1% turn to 100%
I disagree with that assessment. They are being blown away to the south. The convection is being sustained but the shear is taking all the latent heat release to the south. It has 25-30 knots at 250-200 mb taking all the energy to the south.
WindRunner wrote:![]()
LLC is evident this morning, and the convection is still being blown a little bit off of the center, but it is persistent. I still don't think this deserves recon at this point, but I guess we'll see in the next couple of hours if that will happen or not.
Air Force Met wrote:Josephine96 wrote:I think the reason it's not a TD yet may be because they can't send the plane out till it gets close enough
The reason it's not a TD yet is because there is no LLC.
Kennethb wrote:You can't ignore a persistant area of tropical energy like this.
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