Tropical Storm Chris
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- gatorcane
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skysummit wrote:Roxy wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:of course this is going into the GOM. That is clear as crystal with the steering pattern. In fact, I even put out a special post at PNJ alerting to this possibility
Derek are you not buying that it might dissipate?
Good question....also Derek, I know you're asked this thousands of times, but with the ridge building to the north and warm SSTs in the gulf, do you see an intensifying system in the Gulf?
I know Derek should answer but I think that is a YES.
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- wxmann_91
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Stratosphere747 wrote:*sigh*
Almost a week out.....And the current shear map is causing worries...??
We need to add that to our "this season will be famous for..." thread.
However, right now it seems that a new blob of convection has formed over the LLC, while the convection to the east is dying.
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- LAwxrgal
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gatorcane wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:of course this is going into the GOM. That is clear as crystal with the steering pattern. In fact, I even put out a special post at PNJ alerting to this possibility
Derek I agree with you on this also - it is going to get into the GOM and graze South Florida, probably passing through the straits.
Unfortunately Derek I also agree. This thing looks to make a beeline straight for the Gulf -- if it doesn't dissipate first. We still have plenty of time to watch, though.
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A vortex message comming shortly.
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- Canelaw99
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drezee wrote:We definitley have a center...
1817 1737N 06047W 00300 5029 260 003 244 244 005 00282 0000000000
17.6 60.8
WTG NHC! They were almost spot on in the 2pm advisory:
"AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES...110 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANTIGUA."
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- gatorcane
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Derek Ortt wrote:Too soon to say what the shear will be.
I do not know how strong this will be when it nears South Florida (assuming it doesn't pull a Debby and bury itself over Hispaniola)
Derek any chance South Florida Miami-Dade, Broward, and/or Palm Beach will see hurricane-force winds from Chris?
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- cycloneye
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Fact ask the same question at discussion thread of recon.
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- LAwxrgal
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gatorcane wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:Too soon to say what the shear will be.
I do not know how strong this will be when it nears South Florida (assuming it doesn't pull a Debby and bury itself over Hispaniola)
Derek any chance South Florida Miami-Dade, Broward, and/or Palm Beach will see hurricane-force winds from Chris?
I think that ultimately depends on Chris' path and intensity. That's why we still need to watch.
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x-y-no wrote:Scorpion wrote:That's a pretty high pressure, compared to storms last year which started off at around 1003 mb.
Yeah, it's nothing to write home about. But remember the overall pressure in the area is pretty high, so there's still a fair gradient.
And also remember that the basin-wide pressure last year was unusually low.
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