Historical Map # 2
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Sean in New Orleans
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The "no north turns this time of year" is shot.
I've heard people say the gulf, based on climatology, needs to be most worried. Seems to me that Cape Hatteras and Savannah need to be most worried based on that.
Of course, once a storm actually spins up, you need to deal with conditions at the time. Climatology as your sole forecasting criteria is useless.
I've heard people say the gulf, based on climatology, needs to be most worried. Seems to me that Cape Hatteras and Savannah need to be most worried based on that.
Of course, once a storm actually spins up, you need to deal with conditions at the time. Climatology as your sole forecasting criteria is useless.
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Blown Away
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Extremeweatherguy
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Extremeweatherguy
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As the storm moves, these climate maps change also. If this is really south of FL on Sunday, then you will see many past storms working into the Gulf from that position.Blown_away wrote:I looked at that map! Seems unlikely based on historical data that a storm will go WNW from NE of the Islands all the way to Texas! Just doesn't happen that often! We will see, if those models start moving slowly N I would say watch out SFL!
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:As the storm moves, these climate maps change also. If this is really south of FL on Sunday, then you will see many past storms working into the Gulf from that position.Blown_away wrote:I looked at that map! Seems unlikely based on historical data that a storm will go WNW from NE of the Islands all the way to Texas! Just doesn't happen that often! We will see, if those models start moving slowly N I would say watch out SFL!
Well when you're two miles from the gulf, then yeah, it's more likely to get into the gulf.
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Sean in New Orleans
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