Tropical Storm Chris
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http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png
Well............
some of you might not get your big hurricane afterall. New model run shows some of them hitting the DR head on (or trending further south). IF this is true, we'd be talking much weaker storm................
"HOWEVER AN EVEN STRONGER RIDGE WOULD LIKELY DRIVE CHRIS WESTWARD. INDEED... THIS IS THE SCENARIO OFFERED BY THE GFDL MODEL WHICH EVEN TURNS THE SYSTEM WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR A WHILE. "
Do I still smell dissipation ??
Well............
some of you might not get your big hurricane afterall. New model run shows some of them hitting the DR head on (or trending further south). IF this is true, we'd be talking much weaker storm................
"HOWEVER AN EVEN STRONGER RIDGE WOULD LIKELY DRIVE CHRIS WESTWARD. INDEED... THIS IS THE SCENARIO OFFERED BY THE GFDL MODEL WHICH EVEN TURNS THE SYSTEM WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR A WHILE. "
Do I still smell dissipation ??

Last edited by kenl01 on Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- cycloneye
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TS Chris Recon Reports
Here is a clean thread for the data from the afternoon mission that takesoff arounfd 1 PM EDT from St Croix. If any member has a question or comments about the data you can do so at the thread for discussions about the recon mission that is posted in the Talking Tropics forum.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Aug 02, 2006 7:18 pm, edited 22 times in total.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tro ... OUS42.KNHC
Above is the plan of the day for tommorow and friday.
Above is the plan of the day for tommorow and friday.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Quick question regarding Chris. Is it me or does Chris appear to be becoming annular? There is very little banding on satellite and it has that "buzzsaw" kind of look.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
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- stormtruth
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txwatcher91 wrote:Quick question regarding Chris. Is it me or does Chris appear to be becoming annular? There is very little banding on satellite and it has that "buzzsaw" kind of look.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
Way too early for that.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Only 4 models show this going right into the DR (3 of which are not reliable models in this kind of situation). Until there is more model agreement I doubt this will happen (and the NHC doubts it too; thus their more northern track).kenl01 wrote:http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png
Well............
some of you might not get your big hurricane afterall. New model run shows some of them hitting the DR head on (or trending further south). IF this is true, we'd be talking much weaker storm................
"HOWEVER AN EVEN STRONGER RIDGE WOULD LIKELY DRIVE CHRIS WESTWARD. INDEED... THIS IS THE SCENARIO OFFERED BY THE GFDL MODEL WHICH EVEN TURNS THE SYSTEM WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR A WHILE. "
Do I still smell dissipation ??
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