Tropical Storm Chris

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#1881 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:12 pm

i bet you the NHC is going to make a "CORRECTED MILLIBAR NUMBER" update on it sometime soon now.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#1882 Postby flhurricaneguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:12 pm

Joined: 29 Jul 2005
Location: Warrenton, VA
Posted: Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:50 pm Post subject:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#1883 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:12 pm

Are those the two missing sets of data?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145703
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#1884 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:13 pm

If all is right,a VDM is comming very soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#1885 Postby dwg71 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:13 pm

It is certainly not strengthening at this time. We will see what they find on next pass.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#1886 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:13 pm

All around, this advisory is pretty baffling.

The advisory can't have been completed any later than say quarter till 2, and at that time recon had only made the one pass from SE to NW. That pass was clearly nowhere near the center, given the wind profile.

And the pressure rise is just bizzarre. If that verifies once they actually find the center, I'll be astonished.
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#1887 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:14 pm

for the 100th time

that recon report seems valid

Satellite also has not improved. I am not sure what has caused this, but Chris has rapidly weakened is seems, NW quad winds are barely at TS force
0 likes   
Top
tgenius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1160
Joined: Mon May 15, 2006 5:31 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#1888 Postby tgenius » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:14 pm

The readings they are getting so far are pretty low from what I can gather, but they haven't arrived to the center yet have they?
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#1889 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:for the 100th time

that recon report seems valid

Satellite also has not improved. I am not sure what has caused this, but Chris has rapidly weakened is seems, NW quad winds are barely at TS force
thats good news :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#1890 Postby Swimdude » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:i bet you the NHC is going to make a "CORRECTED MILLIBAR NUMBER" update on it sometime soon now.


That would make the entire board laugh at itself for getting so overworked about a rise in pressure. Hehehe.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#1891 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

they also have missed 2 sets of data so for all we know they couldve just found 100kt winds, we wont know because it wasnt sent
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#1892 Postby WindRunner » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#1893 Postby StormsAhead » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

URNT12 KNHC 021815
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/17:52:30Z
B. 19 deg 35 min N
063 deg 56 min W
C. 850 mb 1490 m
D. 30 kt
E. 154 deg 037 nm
F. 199 deg 047 kt
G. 146 deg 052 nm
H. 1006 mb
I. 11 C/ 1514 m
J. 23 C/ 1533 m
K. 14 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.12 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0303A CHRIS OB 03
MAX FL WIND 47 KT SE QUAD 17:35:40 Z
LIGHTNING OBSERVED ON EAST SIDE OF STORM
;
Last edited by StormsAhead on Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#1894 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

02/1745 UTC 19.5N 64.0W T3.5/3.5 CHRIS -- Atlantic Ocean

Dvorak likes Chris. It keeps the system at the same intensity and at the same lat/lon lines as the 2 PM advisory.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#1895 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:15 pm

This may be wrong, but it appears that SAL intrusion may have caused the lowering of some of the flight-level winds and may possibly be contributing to a slightly exposed center.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#1896 Postby Grease Monkey » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:16 pm

Looks like too much dry air for it right now.
0 likes   
Top
tgenius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1160
Joined: Mon May 15, 2006 5:31 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#1897 Postby tgenius » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:16 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:they also have missed 2 sets of data so for all we know they couldve just found 100kt winds, we wont know because it wasnt sent


actually the data from those 2 sets posted, and its low 20s-30s
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#1898 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:16 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:its not weakening...with a pressure rise like that and the same winds, its probably cuz its getting ready to strengthen and is probably expanding right now...i think by the time recon decides to exit it gains hurricane status
No offense but I will go with what derek said :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NONAME
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 373
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Mar 18, 2006 8:15 am
Location: Where the Wind Blows

#1899 Postby NONAME » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:16 pm

Which column is the Winds.
0 likes   
Top
skufful
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 244
Joined: Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:37 pm
Location: Beaufort, SC

#1900 Postby skufful » Wed Aug 02, 2006 1:16 pm

Rainband wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:for the 100th time

that recon report seems valid

Satellite also has not improved. I am not sure what has caused this, but Chris has rapidly weakened is seems, NW quad winds are barely at TS force
thats good news :D


Wouldn't you think? It makes me wonder.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests