Tropical Storm Chris

[AtlanticWind]

Looks to me like a mid level center may be moving south while the low level center is moving west to wsw. This could easily be a quick demise for Chris.

[HouTXmetro]

Looks like the High is Digging in and just as powerful as many of the models have been predicting.

[wxman22]

Goodnight from me to tommorow morning is going to be VERY intresting indeed....................

[Extremeweatherguy]

The WV loop shows the situation perfectly:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

Looks like the system to the NE of Chris is shoving southward. Seems like a complex situation may be setting up though. After it moves southward it could be drawn back NW on the backside of this system. Confusing. I see no signs of decoupling on this loop though (no LLC moving out of the convection mass).

[Air Force Met]

It may be decoupling like mentioned.

Don't track the convection. The LLC may be moving away from it.

I think it is. You can see the deep convection moving SW...bt if you look to the west..you can see the weak feeder bands rotating around.

I think we are going to see a big decrease in strength before it gets its act back together. Maybe all the way down to 40 mph eventually. It's gonna have to start all over with building it's core...

[Air Force Met]

The WV loop shows the situation perfectly:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

Looks like the system to the NE of Chris is shoving southward. Seems like a complex situation may be setting up though. After it moves southward it could be drawn back NW on the backside of this system. Confusing. I see no signs of decoupling on this loop though (no LLC moving out of the convection mass).

How are you going to see a LLC on a WV loop?

[Brent]

will the recon be available for the 2 am advisory?

It should get a fix in time for it...

[Extremeweatherguy]

Tomorrow morning is going to be VERY interesting. I am really wanting to see what will come of this now. If it is decoupling, then we might see a completely new system set up with the LLC. A whole new Chris could be in order.

[Extremeweatherguy]

The WV loop shows the situation perfectly:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

Looks like the system to the NE of Chris is shoving southward. Seems like a complex situation may be setting up though. After it moves southward it could be drawn back NW on the backside of this system. Confusing. I see no signs of decoupling on this loop though (no LLC moving out of the convection mass).

How are you going to see a LLC on a WV loop?

I don't know. Figured it might be like Alberto where you could pick out the swirl.

[Stratosphere747]

Won't take that long. Recon will find out real quick when it gets in there...

[Air Force Met]

Tomorrow morning is going to be VERY interesting. I am really wanting to see what will come of this now. If it is decoupling, then we might see a completely new system set up with the LLC. A whole new Chris could be in order.

Sometimes you have to spit out the old to get the new.

And sometimes things just die.

[f5]

he doesn't have alot of dark red like last years storms had.i do NOT expect him to have black&white thunderstorm convection like wilma did what a nutty storm she was

[windycity]

Chris,D.O.A. Sorry, couldnt resist.

[Grease Monkey]

Looks like he can't resist the Puerto Rican women...

[Extremeweatherguy]

Tomorrow morning is going to be VERY interesting. I am really wanting to see what will come of this now. If it is decoupling, then we might see a completely new system set up with the LLC. A whole new Chris could be in order.

Sometimes you have to spit out the old to get the new.

And sometimes things just die.

that would be the best case scenario, but in these situations there is always that gut instinct that a much stronger system could form (especially with all that low shear just west of the storms location).

[gerrit]

Looks like he can't resist the Puerto Rican women...

Yeah, very funny..

[ROCK]

The WV loop shows the situation perfectly:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

Looks like the system to the NE of Chris is shoving southward. Seems like a complex situation may be setting up though. After it moves southward it could be drawn back NW on the backside of this system. Confusing. I see no signs of decoupling on this loop though (no LLC moving out of the convection mass).

How are you going to see a LLC on a WV loop?

I don't know. Figured it might be like Alberto where you could pick out the swirl.

Well if you look at the vis loop (not really that great) you can see some gray lower cloud feeder bands becoming visible to the WNW, IMO. So yes I would have to agree with the unstacking theory. How does it survive through the night after this hicup...thats the real question.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[deltadog03]

It may be decoupling like mentioned.

Don't track the convection. The LLC may be moving away from it.

I think it is. You can see the deep convection moving SW...bt if you look to the west..you can see the weak feeder bands rotating around.

I think we are going to see a big decrease in strength before it gets its act back together. Maybe all the way down to 40 mph eventually. It's gonna have to start all over with building it's core...

I agree!!! I clearly see a better outflow on the NW side of the system...I agree with you on the LLC is or maybe moving away from the convection.

[f5]

Looks like he can't resist the Puerto Rican women...

Yeah, very funny..

he will weaken if he try to go on land and find her

[HouTXmetro]

so he is not really moving south?