Tropical Storm Chris

Stormavoider · #3101 Postby **Stormavoider** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:52 am

HURAKAN wrote:

The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

Well, It does seem to be trying to slurp the moisture out of what used to be it's convection.

#3102 Postby **mvtrucking** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:52 am

Chris is history. Next...

MortisFL · #3103 Postby **MortisFL** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:52 am

HURAKAN wrote:The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

Try to tell EWG that.

westmoon · #3104 Postby **westmoon** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:53 am

Lets hope this trend continues, I didn't expect chris to be a tropical storm yesterday morning and he suprised me, I would love to think we have seen the end of chris but until he is 100% gone it's not over.

#3105 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:55 am

MortisFL wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

Try to tell EWG that.

I just describe what I see, and that's what I see, a deteriorating system.

#3106 Postby **mvtrucking** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:55 am

You can follow that naked swirl pretty well though. I still had the Trp Fcst Pts up and the swirl is still on it. Is that the convection to its south that got blown of the storm? If so, thats cool.(Interesting)

MortisFL · #3107 Postby **MortisFL** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:58 am

HURAKAN wrote:
MortisFL wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

Try to tell EWG that.

I just describe what I see, and that's what I see, a deteriorating system.

I clearly see that too.

MortisFL · #3108 Postby **MortisFL** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:04 am

I bet cycloneye got some pretty bad t-storms and gusts last night when the MLC broke off to the south.

WindRunner · #3109 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:04 am

Does anyone else think that this looks a lot like TS Gamma last year?

#3110 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:09 am

Great finding, I agree. Very similar. :uarrow:

miamicanes177 · #3111 Postby **miamicanes177** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:11 am

12z gfdl dissipates it before reaching hispaniola.

#3112 Postby **bvigal** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:11 am

Did the Navy not bother to do 5am track map, advisory #11?
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/images/al032006.gif

#3113 Postby **N2FSU** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:11 am

Here are some comments from Accuweather's FREE site today:

Although Chris has weakened, AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists feel there is still a window of opportunity for Chris to strengthen in time. Northwest wind shear this morning has been taking its toll on Chris, forcing the system to become disorganized with the low-level center of circulation becoming detached from all of the thunderstorm activity that was once wrapped around the center of circulation. If this shear continues and the low-level circulation drifts too close to land over the next 24 hours, Chris will weaken altogether or at least weaken to a depression. However, if the center of circulation remains over water and the shear relaxes, which should be the case as Chris gets farther west, then Chris may be able to re-intensify.

Given the window of error, residents of South Florida should continue to keep a watch on Chris as the system may track close enough to bring effects by Sunday. By early next week, Chris could move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, how strong Chris is, or what is left of the system will be highly dependent on whether or not the system can remain over water and how far it stays away from any land masses in the western Caribbean. If Chris stays well away from land and over water, it is not unreasonable that Chris could intensify to a hurricane before it enters the Gulf.

#3114 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:13 am

Hey guys just back form Vegas baby! with alot less money. I just heard about Chris last night, and he looks like he 's exposing his self also (Vegas). Does anyone know what the environment is gonna be like in his near future.

Normandy · #3115 Postby **Normandy** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:13 am

It still has a strong LLC, so it will take some time for that to COMPLETELY fizzle out

Extremeweatherguy · #3116 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:14 am

MortisFL wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

Try to tell EWG that.

excuse me? I have not even posted on storm2k since last night (right as the system began to fall apart), I don't know where you got this wild idea that I thought the system was not obviously deteriorating. I do still think there is a chance Chris could come back, but so does the NHC, so I don't see what the issue is here.

beachbum_al · #3117 Postby **beachbum_al** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:26 am

I just my 8 am email from the NHC and it seems that Chris has moved back toward the WNW but weakened a bit. I posted on another thread this and provided the quote but wouldn't this new movement to the WNW put Chris in a more favorabel position to develop if he continues to move toward the WNW? Just wondering. Wouldn't this movement keep Chris in the straits of FL and off of the Cuba land mass?

dwg71 · #3118 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:29 am

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

Look at the dry air that lies ahead of Chris for the next 24 hours or so...he's finished - I'll take the heat if I'm wrong, but I don't see this surviving.

#3119 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:32 am

Let's turn the tables a bit....what if this was an LLC that JUST started to develop. It has not T-storms yet, but a nice swirl. We'd all be going nuts over it. :lol:

Stormavoider · #3120 Postby **Stormavoider** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:34 am

skysummit wrote:Let's turn the tables a bit....what if this was an LLC that JUST started to develop. It has not T-storms yet, but a nice swirl. We'd all be going nuts over it.

I was just thinking that! it's still the best looking Atlantic feature this year (I think).

Tropical Storm Chris

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