#3113 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:11 am
Here are some comments from Accuweather's FREE site today:
Although Chris has weakened, AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists feel there is still a window of opportunity for Chris to strengthen in time. Northwest wind shear this morning has been taking its toll on Chris, forcing the system to become disorganized with the low-level center of circulation becoming detached from all of the thunderstorm activity that was once wrapped around the center of circulation. If this shear continues and the low-level circulation drifts too close to land over the next 24 hours, Chris will weaken altogether or at least weaken to a depression. However, if the center of circulation remains over water and the shear relaxes, which should be the case as Chris gets farther west, then Chris may be able to re-intensify.
Given the window of error, residents of South Florida should continue to keep a watch on Chris as the system may track close enough to bring effects by Sunday. By early next week, Chris could move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, how strong Chris is, or what is left of the system will be highly dependent on whether or not the system can remain over water and how far it stays away from any land masses in the western Caribbean. If Chris stays well away from land and over water, it is not unreasonable that Chris could intensify to a hurricane before it enters the Gulf.
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