Update: Fat lady has yet to sing--Chris lives!

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dixiebreeze
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Update: Fat lady has yet to sing--Chris lives!

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:06 am

A bit near the center of circ.:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:52 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby cmdebbie » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:09 am

The fat lady has yet to sing....


Ain't that the truth!
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:10 am

Yes, and his track is now back to WNW. I expect we'll see a good blossoming later today.
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#4 Postby rockyman » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:12 am

She was just clearing her throat...no biggie :)
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#5 Postby cmdebbie » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:13 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Yes, and his track is now back to WNW. I expect we'll see a good blossoming later today.


It sure seems like that is possible. But then again, what do I know?
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:15 am

She may not be singing yet, but she's warmed up and ready ...
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#7 Postby Stormavoider » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:17 am

I think having an exposed LLC makes it much more interesting to study.
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#8 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:23 am

Watch this loop:

Link: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... java1.html

Wow, Chris got hammered! I wonder if Storm2K is going to set a record in the amount of storm cancel posts we have. I believe it is not over for Chris and he may still have a chance.
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Re: The fat lady has yet to sing....

#9 Postby Agua » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:27 am

dixiebreeze wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg


Hehehhhee. That looks pretty pathetic. :thumbsup:
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#10 Postby Frank2 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:33 am

Sheared systems (in this case, completely sheared) often do not regenerate, so, we'll see...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg
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#11 Postby rockyman » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:36 am

The cold clouds tops to the SE of the center have now warmed...the whole area appears to be "drying up"...
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#12 Postby boca » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:37 am

Chris is toast ,next is Debby.
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#13 Postby rockyman » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:38 am

Does anyone have an example of a storm that pulled it back together after a decoupling? If so, maybe we could research that storm and see what conditions allowed it to pull itself together.
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#14 Postby Frank2 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:39 am

The low-level circulation center is starting to encounter the ULL to it's west, and, even though the ULL is drifting northwestward, it's apparently enough to make conditions even more unfavorable...
Last edited by Frank2 on Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby Normandy » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:40 am

Wow, look to the NE of Chris...u see that shear?
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#16 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:40 am

Question for Derek...Was it not last year with the wave that Begot katrina that you said these shallow swirls tend to have more north trajectory than if it were developed making it go more west?
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#17 Postby Frank2 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:41 am

There probably have been a few, but, in my memory, those that decoupled often did not regenerate. There might be some confusion concerning this, because a partially sheared system often does regenerate, but, a completely sheared system is usually just a completely exposed low-level swirl - as it is now...
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#18 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:42 am

x-y-no wrote:She may not be singing yet, but she's warmed up and ready ...


Sorry... quote of the day!! :lol:
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#19 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:43 am

Normandy wrote:Wow, look to the NE of Chris...u see that shear?


I noticed that also.....
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#20 Postby Frank2 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:44 am

I'll say this - many here in South Florida are very thankful this morning, for the unexpected turn of events...

Frank
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