SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic Thread #4

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Aquawind
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#161 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 25, 2006 4:46 pm

Lotsa warm water to be tapped by the Fishes.. Did anyone get hurt from Vince? It was probably exciting for most them.
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#162 Postby P.K. » Tue Jul 25, 2006 4:51 pm

No injuries going by the RSMC Miami report. To be honest I'm not really sure many people were aware of it (Well that it was tropical anyway).

The next BoM ENSO advisory should be out at some time tomorrow.
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#163 Postby P.K. » Wed Jul 26, 2006 5:03 am

CURRENT STATUS as at 26th July 2006
Next update expected by 9th August 2006 (two weeks after this update).

| Summary | In Brief | Details |

Summary: A persistence of neutral ENSO conditions

The overall ENSO status remains neutral. Generally weak trends have been observed in the main Pacific climate indicators during the past few weeks, and the potential for an El Niño event to develop this year is still relatively low.

The main concern remains the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which is still hovering around the −10 mark, indicating a general weakness in the Pacific Walker Circulation. In addition, the Trade Winds have been weaker than average across much of the Pacific during July, so this situation will be monitored closely for any sustained trends. However, with the exception of the far eastern Pacific, ocean temperatures are only marginally above average, both on and below the surface. Therefore, there is only a slight risk that the Pacific will warm to levels high enough for an El Niño event to develop.

Most of the ENSO prediction models surveyed at the end of July showed a continuation of neutral conditions, although on the warm side of normal. A sustained warming beginning at this time of year would be unusual, given that ENSO events typically begin to evolve between March and June.
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#164 Postby drezee » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:21 am

Just wanted to bring this back up being that 99L might be making a GOM visit.

The "Big Three" GOM buoys are 42001, 42002, and 42003.

For July 31, each one of them is at or above the same time for 2005 for overnight SSTs. Overnight is a better measurement than during the day (can spike on any given day).
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#165 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:49 pm

This is the latest weekly update of the anomalys in the Atlantic.Looks like the MDR area has warmed slightly more than last weeks update.And the North Atlantic is well above normal in the anomalys.

:darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

Weekly Atlantic Anomalys Update
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#166 Postby Grease Monkey » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:51 pm

Wow. When do the temps usually reach their peak during the season?
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#167 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:13 pm

bump
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#168 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:31 am

Image
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#169 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Aug 06, 2006 10:36 am

why are the poles so warm? is it because of the two heat waves??
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#170 Postby Trugunzn » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:15 am

2005

Image

Image

2006

Image

Image
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#171 Postby x-y-no » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:18 am

Trugunzn wrote:Image



Wow ... That little loop current hot spot is off the scale ...
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#172 Postby Trugunzn » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:19 am

Heat Potential is define higher then last year even though SST is little lower then last year.
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#173 Postby Trugunzn » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:23 am

Amazon how high high that loop current is! :eek:
Last edited by Trugunzn on Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#174 Postby Trugunzn » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:33 am

Heres the loop current Hurricane Katrinia went over:

Image

and this is what the loop current looks now:

Image
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#175 Postby westmoon » Mon Aug 07, 2006 10:36 am

Don't know if there is any connection or not but living and boating on the west coast of florida this year we have noticed that our normal summer tides are very low, and last winters tides were lower than normal. It has been the topic of conversation most weekends at the marina that since Katrina went through the normal tides Levels have not seamed to come back. Could this change in the tides have anything to due with the gulf being warmer than usual?
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#176 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 07, 2006 2:41 pm

Image

Above is Reynolds SST Anomaly weekly update.From the last weeks update to this new one really there are no big changes in the Atlantic anomalys.
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#177 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 10:34 am

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 2.2006.gif

Seems to be some warming in the Eastern Atlantic.
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#178 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 10:35 am

Dr jeff masters said expect the water temps to rise above normal in one of his blogs, but i forget why.
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#179 Postby benny » Tue Aug 22, 2006 10:40 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.8.22.2006.gif

Seems to be some warming in the Eastern Atlantic.


Definitely warm. My big question is... how will the El Ninoish forcing that has been taking place since June affect this year? We have seen two low-latitude systems in the tropical Atlantic... though they haven't prospered. What will September bring.. hmmm
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#180 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 10:49 am

Trugunzn wrote:Heres the loop current Hurricane Katrinia went over:

Image

and this is what the loop current looks now:

Image


Wow, that's not good at all!

All of that untapped Loop Current warmth this year may not be good later in this season.
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